Sport Picks
Virtus Francavilla vs Pompei
Italy
Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 Stadio Giovanni Paolo II, Francavilla Fontana 
Match Events
45'
45'
Iurgens F.
Own Goal
85'
85'
Mendoza A.
90'
90'
De Vietro C.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 game between Virtus Francavilla and Pompei finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
15%
41%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus Francavilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Virtus Francavilla carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Virtus Francavilla Clean Sheet 68%
Pompei Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Virtus Francavilla | Pompei |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Pompei vs Virtus Francavilla
4:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Virtus Francavilla vs Pompei
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Virtus Francavilla Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Pompei Compare
Top Goalscorer De Vietro C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Virtus Francavilla 41 / 100
Pompei 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Virtus Francavilla Pompei
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Virtus Francavilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pompei's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Virtus Francavilla went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Virtus Francavilla's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Virtus Francavilla VS Pompei
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Virtus Francavilla
(Home) 20 Sept
Martina Calcio
1 : 2 Virtus Francavilla
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
13 Sept
Melfi
0 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1 Palmese 1914
03 May
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 2 Sarnese
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 1 Brindisi
06 Sept
Virtus Francavilla
3 : 1 Palmese 1914
03 May
Virtus Francavilla
2 : 2 Sarnese
19 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
0 : 3 Francavilla
12 Apr
Virtus Francavilla
0 : 2 Fidelis Andria
Page 1 of 3
Pompei
(Away) 10 May
Sarnese
2 : 1 Pompei
03 May
Fidelis Andria
1 : 2 Pompei
26 Apr
Pompei
4 : 1 Virtus Francavilla
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3 Pompei
12 Apr
Pompei
2 : 1 Heraclea
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Sarnese
2 : 1 Pompei
03 May
Fidelis Andria
1 : 2 Pompei
19 Apr
Acerrana
1 : 3 Pompei
02 Apr
A.C.D. Nardo
2 : 0 Pompei
22 Mar
SS Nola 1925
1 : 2 Pompei
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barletta | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 54:20 | 70 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 62 |
| 3 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 51:35 | 62 |
| 4 | Paganese | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 36:32 | 58 |
| 5 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 40:27 | 55 |
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50:40 | 55 |
| 7 | Afragolese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 45:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 35:28 | 48 |
| 9 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27:26 | 43 |
| 11 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39:38 | 43 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 34:39 | 43 |
| 13 | Sarnese | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 51:49 | 41 |
| 14 | SS Nola 1925 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:50 | 41 |
| 15 | Heraclea | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 31:39 | 38 |
| 16 | Pompei | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 26:38 | 34 |
| 17 | Ferrandina | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 21:43 | 30 |
| 18 | Acerrana | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 20:74 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)
