Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Virtus vs AC Libertas

San Marino San Marino

Coppa Titano 2025/2026
Virtus Logo

Virtus

3 - 0
FT
AC Libertas Logo

AC Libertas

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Niang A.
26' Event
Benincasa S.
Assist: Zenoni M.
56' Event
Ciacci E.
Assist: Amati A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Virtus advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Virtus
30%
Draws
19%
AC Libertas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • AC Libertas haven't matched Virtus's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Virtus a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Virtus have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Virtus, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Virtus here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Virtus Clean Sheet 20%
AC Libertas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Virtus AC Libertas
Matches Played 38 32
Wins 26 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.18 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.76 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs AC Libertas
2:0
Apr 26, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs Virtus
0:9
Feb 11, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs AC Libertas
3:1
Dec 10, 2025 Coppa Titano
AC Libertas vs Virtus
1:3
Nov 26, 2025 Coppa Titano
Virtus vs AC Libertas
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Niang A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benincasa S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

AC Libertas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Virtus 85 / 100
AC Libertas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Virtus AC Libertas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (38 games).

AC Libertas has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Virtus went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Virtus VS AC Libertas
2.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Virtus

(Home)
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3
Virtus
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0
AC Libertas
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Virtus
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
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AC Libertas

(Away)
18 Sept
AC Libertas
1 : 1
SC Faetano
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0
AC Libertas
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2
Folgore
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1
Juvenes/Dogana
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1
AC Libertas
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Virtus -
TBD -
Cailungo 2
AC Libertas 3
San Giovanni 3
SP Cosmos 4
Tre Fiori 4
SS Pennarossa 1
Tre Penne 5
SP Domagnano 2
Fiorentino 2
Juvenes/Dogana 5
SS Murata 3
SC Faetano 1
Folgore 0
La Fiorita 1
Quarter-finals
Virtus 6
AC Libertas 1
SP Cosmos 1
Tre Fiori 7
Tre Penne 1
Juvenes/Dogana 2
SS Murata 2
La Fiorita 4
Semi-finals
Virtus 0
Tre Fiori 1
Juvenes/Dogana 1
La Fiorita 2
Final
Tre Fiori 1
La Fiorita 3