Sport Picks
Vis Pesaro vs US Pontedera
Italy
Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Tonino Benelli, Pesaro 
Match Events
35'
35'
Di Paola M.
46'
46'
Sub
Piana L. In: Fancelli A.
Out: Piana L.
51'
51'
Yeboah P.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: US Pontedera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Vis Pesaro have won more games recently than US Pontedera.
- 64% — that's where the model lands on US Pontedera taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Vis Pesaro Clean Sheet 14%
US Pontedera Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vis Pesaro | US Pontedera |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 6 | 1 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 15 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 1, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs US Pontedera
1:1
Oct 20, 2025 Serie C - Group B
US Pontedera vs Vis Pesaro
0:2
May 4, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Vis Pesaro vs US Pontedera
1:1
Jan 19, 2025 Serie C - Group B
US Pontedera vs Vis Pesaro
0:1
Sep 14, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs US Pontedera
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vis Pesaro Compare
Top Goalscorer Machin J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
US Pontedera Compare
Top Goalscorer Yeboah P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.44
Avg xA / game 0.88
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vis Pesaro 27 / 100
US Pontedera 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vis Pesaro US Pontedera
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick US Pontedera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: US Pontedera conceded in 93% of 27 recent games.
Vis Pesaro's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: US Pontedera registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Vis Pesaro VS US Pontedera
0.88 Goals Scored 0.67
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Vis Pesaro
(Home) 16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4 Reggiana
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1 Vis Pesaro
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2 Ostiamare
02 Sept
Gubbio
5 : 0 Vis Pesaro
30 Aug
Vis Pesaro
2 : 2 Perugia
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4 Reggiana
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2 Ostiamare
30 Aug
Vis Pesaro
2 : 2 Perugia
31 Jul
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2 Benevento
26 Apr
Vis Pesaro
2 : 3 Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 3
US Pontedera
(Away) 16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0 US Pontedera
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3 Pro Patria
06 Sept
Castellanzese
3 : 1 US Pontedera
12 Aug
Tau
0 : 1 US Pontedera
26 Apr
US Pontedera
0 : 2 Livorno
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0 US Pontedera
06 Sept
Castellanzese
3 : 1 US Pontedera
12 Aug
Tau
0 : 1 US Pontedera
18 Apr
Sambenedettese
2 : 1 US Pontedera
03 Apr
Carpi
2 : 0 US Pontedera
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
