Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vissel Kobe vs Okayama

Japan Japan

J1 League 2026 Noevir Stadium, Kobe
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Suzuki Y.
Assist: Esaka A.
43' Event
Esaka A.
Assist: Shirai K.
44'
Werik Popo

AI Match Summary

Okayama in this J1 League 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Okayama.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Vissel Kobe
15%
Draws
32%
Okayama
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vissel Kobe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vissel Kobe lately — more wins on the board than Okayama.
  • Vissel Kobe are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular J1 League 2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Vissel Kobe Clean Sheet 68%
Okayama Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vissel Kobe Okayama
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 2 2
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.83 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Okayama
0:3
Apr 5, 2026 J1 League
Okayama vs Vissel Kobe
1:4
Jul 20, 2025 J1 League
Okayama vs Vissel Kobe
1:2
May 3, 2025 J1 League
Vissel Kobe vs Okayama
2:0
Jul 3, 2013 J2 League
Okayama vs Vissel Kobe
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vissel Kobe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Okayama Compare

Top Goalscorer Suzuki Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Esaka A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vissel Kobe 86 / 100
Okayama 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vissel Kobe Okayama

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vissel Kobe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vissel Kobe's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Vissel Kobe has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Okayama let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Vissel Kobe VS Okayama
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vissel Kobe

(Home)
20 Sept
Gamba Osaka
0 : 1
Vissel Kobe
16 Sept
Port MTI FC
1 : 2
Vissel Kobe
11 Sept
Vissel Kobe
2 : 1
Kashima Antlers
06 Sept
Vissel Kobe
3 : 1
V-Varen Nagasaki
02 Sept
Verdy
0 : 2
Vissel Kobe
Page 1 of 6

Okayama

(Away)
19 Sept
Okayama
1 : 2
Kyoto
13 Sept
Urawa Reds
1 : 2
Okayama
06 Sept
Okayama
3 : 2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
02 Sept
Chiba
1 : 2
Okayama
29 Aug
Nagoya Grampus
2 : 1
Okayama
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashima Antlers 18 15 0 3 31:11 45
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 32:18 37
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 28:22 37
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 26:28 28
5 Verdy 18 10 0 8 22:26 28
6 Urawa Reds 18 7 0 11 25:22 25
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 28:31 20
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 22:24 20
9 Mito 18 6 0 12 23:39 18
10 Chiba 18 3 0 15 18:34 12
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 29:25 35
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 30:21 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 33:31 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 31:23 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 31:25 28
6 Okayama 18 8 0 10 26:29 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 8 0 10 23:25 24
8 Kyoto 18 8 0 10 22:28 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 21:29 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 21:31 21
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League 2026 (Placement Play Offs)