Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vital'O vs Aigle Noir

Burundi Burundi

Coupe du President Intwari Stadium, Bujumbura
Tue, May 5, 2026
0 - 2
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. The second leg ended 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Vital'O
30%
Draws
39%
Aigle Noir
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aigle Noir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aigle Noir come out ahead of Vital'O on wins alone.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Vital'O taking it.
  • Aigle Noir arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aigle Noir, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Vital'O Clean Sheet 20%
Aigle Noir Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vital'O Aigle Noir
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 14 18
Draws 8 11
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.57 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.89 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Primus League
Vital'O vs Aigle Noir
0:0
May 5, 2026 Coupe du President
Vital'O vs Aigle Noir
0:2
May 3, 2026 Coupe du President
Aigle Noir vs Vital'O
1:2
Jan 11, 2026 Primus League
Aigle Noir vs Vital'O
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Primus League
Vital'O vs Aigle Noir
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vital'O 40 / 100
Aigle Noir 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vital'O Aigle Noir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vital'O Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vital'O's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Aigle Noir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Vital'O stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vital'O VS Aigle Noir
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vital'O

(Home)
30 Aug
Kayanza United
1 : 1
Vital'O
23 Aug
Vital'O
2 : 1
Ngozi City
16 Aug
Vital'O
1 : 1
Inter Star
09 May
Royal Vision
0 : 1
Vital'O
05 May
Vital'O
0 : 2
Aigle Noir
Page 1 of 6

Aigle Noir

(Away)
05 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman
30 Aug
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Young Star
23 Aug
Flambeau du Centre
1 : 1
Aigle Noir
16 Aug
Aigle Noir
3 : 1
Olympic Star
08 Aug
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Rukinzo
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Dynamik 1
Aigle Noir 2
Kayanza United 0
Vital'O 5
Muzinga 3
Ngozi City 4
Rocky City Nyanza 1
Rukinzo 11
Semi-finals
Aigle Noir 3
Vital'O 2
Ngozi City 0
Rukinzo 1
Final
Aigle Noir 0
Rukinzo 1