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Vitesse vs Dortmund II

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Probst E.

AI Match Summary

Vitesse in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitesse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Vitesse
20%
Draws
44%
Dortmund II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dortmund II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Vitesse haven't matched Dortmund II's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 12%
Dortmund II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitesse Dortmund II
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 17
Draws 9 6
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.8 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Vitesse vs Dortmund II
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitesse Compare

Top Goalscorer Probst E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Dortmund II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitesse 30 / 100
Dortmund II 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitesse Dortmund II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vitesse scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Dortmund II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Vitesse stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Vitesse VS Dortmund II
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitesse

(Home)
19 Sept
Vitesse
3 : 1
Jong PSV
12 Sept
Roda
1 : 0
Vitesse
04 Sept
Vitesse
2 : 1
TOP Oss
28 Aug
Den Bosch
1 : 4
Vitesse
21 Aug
Vitesse
0 : 3
Almere City
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Dortmund II

(Away)
21 Sept
Paderborn II
1 : 1
Dortmund II
16 Sept
Dortmund II
2 : 1
Westfalia Rhynern
13 Sept
Dortmund II
3 : 2
Rodinghausen
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach II
0 : 0
Dortmund II
01 Sept
Dortmund II
3 : 1
Schalke II
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