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Vitesse vs Dortmund II

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Probst E.

AI Match Summary

Vitesse in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitesse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Vitesse
28%
Draws
22%
Dortmund II
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Vitesse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Vitesse haven't matched Dortmund II's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vitesse's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 20%
Dortmund II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitesse Dortmund II
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.71 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Vitesse vs Dortmund II
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitesse Compare

Top Goalscorer Probst E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Dortmund II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitesse 49 / 100
Dortmund II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitesse Dortmund II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vitesse scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Dortmund II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Vitesse stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Dortmund II has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitesse VS Dortmund II
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.38
57% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%