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Vitesse vs Waalwijk

Netherlands Netherlands

Eerste Divisie GelreDome, Arnhem
Fri, Aug 7, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitesse host Waalwijk in the Eerste Divisie. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Waalwijk have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Vitesse have conceded 1 and scored 0.8. Head-to-head, Vitesse have won 1 to Waalwijk's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Dec 10, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.15 xG vs 1.25) point toward Waalwijk. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Vitesse
39%
Draws
31%
Waalwijk
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Waalwijk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Vitesse Clean Sheet 19%
Waalwijk Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitesse Waalwijk
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 11 12
Draws 10 13
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.8 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.80 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Vitesse vs Waalwijk
2:1
Sep 16, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Waalwijk vs Vitesse
1:1
Oct 30, 2024 KNVB Beker
Waalwijk vs Vitesse
3:1
Mar 9, 2024 Eredivisie
Waalwijk vs Vitesse
3:1
Sep 16, 2023 Eredivisie
Vitesse vs Waalwijk
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitesse 31 / 100
Waalwijk 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitesse Waalwijk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitesse's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Waalwijk conceded in 79% of 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Vitesse has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vitesse VS Waalwijk
0.8 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
60% Over 1.5 88%
40% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitesse

(Home)
18 Jul
Vitesse
1 : 2
Al Jazira
15 Jul
Vitesse
0 : 0
AEK
11 Jul
Vitesse
1 : 0
Dortmund II
03 Jul
Vitesse
1 : 1
Roda
24 Apr
Cambuur
2 : 1
Vitesse
Page 1 of 6

Waalwijk

(Away)
25 Jul
Waalwijk
0 : 2
Bochum II
18 Jul
Waalwijk
2 : 2
FC Volendam
18 Jul
Waalwijk
1 : 1
Alemannia Aachen
11 Jul
Kozakken Boys
0 : 0
Waalwijk
04 Jul
Waalwijk
1 : 1
Jong AZ Alkmaar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1De Graafschap00000:00
2Venlo00000:00
3Den Bosch00000:00
4Dordrecht00000:00
5Eindhoven FC00000:00
6FC Emmen00000:00
7Helmond Sport00000:00
8Maastricht00000:00
9Almere City00000:00
10TOP Oss00000:00
11FC Volendam00000:00
12Waalwijk00000:00
13NAC Breda00000:00
14Roda00000:00
15Vitesse00000:00
16Heracles00000:00
17Jong PSV00000:00
18Jong Ajax00000:00
19Jong AZ Alkmaar00000:00
20Jong Utrecht00000:00
Promotion - Eredivisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)