Sport Picks

Netherlands

Eerste Divisie GelreDome

Waalwijk

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vitesse host Waalwijk in the Eerste Divisie. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Waalwijk have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Vitesse have conceded 0.5 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Vitesse have won 1 to Waalwijk's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Dec 10, 2025, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.44 xG vs 1.25) point toward Waalwijk. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Vitesse

30%

Draws

34%

Waalwijk

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vitesse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Waalwijk carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Vitesse's way, sitting at 36%.
Regular Eerste Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

Vitesse Clean Sheet 19%

Waalwijk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Vitesse	Waalwijk
Matches Played	29	33
Wins	11	13
Draws	10	11
Losses	8	9
Goals Scored	1.5	2
Goals Conceded	0.5	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2025 Eerste Divisie

Vitesse vs Waalwijk

Possession: 53% - 55% Cards: 4 - 1

2:1

Sep 16, 2025 Eerste Divisie

Waalwijk vs Vitesse

Possession: 50% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Oct 30, 2024 KNVB Beker

Waalwijk vs Vitesse

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

3:1

Mar 9, 2024 Eredivisie

Waalwijk vs Vitesse

Possession: 41% - 60% Cards: 2 - 3

3:1

Sep 16, 2023 Eredivisie

Vitesse vs Waalwijk

Possession: 51% - 54% Cards: 2 - 2

0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitesse 36 / 100

Waalwijk 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Vitesse Waalwijk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitesse's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Waalwijk conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Vitesse has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vitesse VS Waalwijk

1.5 Goals Scored 2

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38

50% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	GD
1	De Graafschap	0:0
2	Venlo	0:0
3	Den Bosch	0:0
4	Dordrecht	0:0
5	Eindhoven FC	0:0
6	FC Emmen	0:0
7	Helmond Sport	0:0
8	Maastricht	0:0
9	Almere City	0:0
10	TOP Oss	0:0
11	FC Volendam	0:0
12	Waalwijk	0:0
13	NAC Breda	0:0
14	Roda	0:0
15	Vitesse	0:0
16	Heracles	0:0
17	Jong PSV	0:0
18	Jong Ajax	0:0
19	Jong AZ Alkmaar	0:0
20	Jong Utrecht	0:0