Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitoria da Conquista vs Grapiuna Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Neto Rocha
54' Event
Carlos Richard
65' Event
Lima de Souza R.

AI Match Summary

The Baiano 2 game between Vitoria da Conquista and Grapiuna finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grapiuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Vitoria da Conquista
20%
Draws
51%
Grapiuna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Grapiuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vitoria da Conquista come out ahead of Grapiuna on wins alone.
  • Vitoria da Conquista are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Baiano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Vitoria da Conquista Clean Sheet 20%
Grapiuna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria da Conquista Grapiuna
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.34 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Baiano 2
Vitoria da Conquista vs Grapiuna
0:2
May 18, 2025 Baiano 2
Vitoria da Conquista vs Grapiuna
2:1
Jun 9, 2024 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Vitoria da Conquista
0:0
Jul 2, 2023 Baiano 2
Grapiuna vs Vitoria da Conquista
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria da Conquista Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Grapiuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Carlos Richard
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lima de Souza R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria da Conquista 85 / 100
Grapiuna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria da Conquista Grapiuna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria da Conquista Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grapiuna has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Vitoria da Conquista found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Vitoria da Conquista stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria da Conquista VS Grapiuna
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria da Conquista

(Home)
05 Jul
Vitoria da Conquista
2 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
21 Jun
Barreiras
2 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista
14 Jun
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 1
Redencao
06 Jun
Camacari
2 : 5
Vitoria da Conquista
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
Page 1 of 6

Grapiuna

(Away)
05 Jul
Grapiuna
0 : 6
Leonico
20 Jun
Camacari
1 : 3
Grapiuna
14 Jun
Grapiuna
0 : 7
Feira FC
07 Jun
Redencao
2 : 2
Grapiuna
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 9 8 1 0 33:5 25
2 SSA 9 7 0 2 19:5 21
3 Barreiras 9 7 0 2 20:8 21
4 Feira FC 9 6 1 2 27:4 19
5 Redencao 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
6 Leonico 9 3 1 5 16:24 10
7 Jacobina 9 2 1 6 9:23 7
8 Grapiuna 9 2 1 6 8:26 7
9 Vitoria da Conquista 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
10 Camacari 9 0 0 9 5:41 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 (Play Offs)