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Vitoria Guimaraes B vs CF Os Belenenses

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Academia Vitoria SC, Guimarães
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Match Events

1' Event
Paulo D.
Assist: Bandarra M.
22'
Morgado T.
30'
Fernandes Ribeiro R. J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Vitoria Guimaraes B
28%
Draws
22%
CF Os Belenenses
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Vitoria Guimaraes B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • CF Os Belenenses have won more games recently than Vitoria Guimaraes B.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Vitoria Guimaraes B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Vitoria Guimaraes B Clean Sheet 68%
CF Os Belenenses Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes B CF Os Belenenses
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga 3
CF Os Belenenses vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
0:0
Feb 15, 2026 Liga 3
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs CF Os Belenenses
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Guimaraes B Compare

Top Goalscorer Nogueira M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

CF Os Belenenses Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Afonso A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes B 59 / 100
CF Os Belenenses 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Guimaraes B CF Os Belenenses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria Guimaraes B found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: CF Os Belenenses conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Vitoria Guimaraes B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes B VS CF Os Belenenses
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Guimaraes B

(Home)
25 Jul
Chaves
2 : 3
Vitoria Guimaraes B
16 May
Vitoria Guimaraes B
1 : 3
Amarante FC
09 May
Trofense
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
03 May
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 2
Mafra
25 Apr
Varzim
2 : 2
Vitoria Guimaraes B
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CF Os Belenenses

(Away)
24 Jul
Benfica
5 : 1
CF Os Belenenses
17 Jul
Alverca
2 : 1
CF Os Belenenses
30 May
CF Os Belenenses
0 : 0
SC Farense
23 May
SC Farense
1 : 0
CF Os Belenenses
16 May
CF Os Belenenses
3 : 1
Mafra
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Amarante FC1494122:1131
2Academica1484223:1328
3CF Os Belenenses1475225:1626
4Mafra1452717:2417
5Vitoria Guimaraes B1445516:1717
6Varzim1442813:1914
7Santarem1424813:2010
8Trofense142487:1610
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)