Sport Picks
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Paredes
Portugal
Liga 3 2025/2026 Academia Vitoria SC, Guimarães 
Match Events
11'
11'
Erik
13'
13'
Tepe M.
20'
20'
Alcobia
AI Match Summary
The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between Vitoria Guimaraes B and Paredes finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paredes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
20%
56%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paredes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Paredes carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Vitoria Guimaraes B Clean Sheet 10%
Paredes Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Vitoria Guimaraes B | Paredes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 Liga 3
Paredes vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
3:1
Dec 21, 2025 Liga 3
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Paredes
1:3
Sep 24, 2025 Liga 3
Paredes vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
1:1
May 18, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Paredes vs Vitoria Guimaraes B
0:2
Apr 27, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vitoria Guimaraes B vs Paredes
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Vitoria Guimaraes B Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Paredes Compare
Top Goalscorer Yuk J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Erik
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Vitoria Guimaraes B 34 / 100
Paredes 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Vitoria Guimaraes B Paredes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Paredes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vitoria Guimaraes B's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Solid form: Vitoria Guimaraes B remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Paredes has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Vitoria Guimaraes B VS Paredes
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Vitoria Guimaraes B
(Home) 12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0 Vitoria Guimaraes B
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 0 Trofense
21 Aug
AD Fafe
1 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes B
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0 Leca
07 Aug
Paredes
3 : 1 Vitoria Guimaraes B
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 0 Trofense
15 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0 Leca
01 Aug
Vitoria Guimaraes B
2 : 0 FC Felgueiras
16 May
Vitoria Guimaraes B
1 : 3 Amarante FC
03 May
Vitoria Guimaraes B
0 : 2 Mafra
Page 1 of 3
Paredes
(Away) 13 Sept
Paredes
2 : 1 AD Fafe
05 Sept
Varzim
0 : 1 Paredes
30 Aug
Ermesinde
1 : 3 Paredes
23 Aug
Paredes
1 : 2 Leca
15 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 Paredes
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Varzim
0 : 1 Paredes
30 Aug
Ermesinde
1 : 3 Paredes
15 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 Paredes
22 Jul
AFS
2 : 4 Paredes
18 Jul
Santa Clara
2 : 0 Paredes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 20:16 | 29 |
| 2 | Amarante FC | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | 29 |
| 3 | Trofense | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 23:15 | 28 |
| 4 | Varzim | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 26:17 | 28 |
| 5 | Paredes | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 22:12 | 27 |
| 6 | Braga B | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 16:17 | 25 |
| 7 | AD Fafe | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 23:21 | 24 |
| 8 | AD Marco 09 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | 19 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 11:26 | 14 |
| 10 | Sanjoanense | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 20:32 | 13 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 27:16 | 38 |
| 2 | Mafra | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 28:19 | 34 |
| 3 | Academica | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 29:18 | 28 |
| 4 | Santarem | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 15:14 | 25 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 16:17 | 22 |
| 6 | Lusitano GC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:19 | 22 |
| 7 | Amora | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19:22 | 21 |
| 8 | Caldas SC | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 17:23 | 21 |
| 9 | 1º Dezembro | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 13:21 | 17 |
| 10 | Covilha | 18 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 10:24 | 14 |
Promotion - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
