Sport Picks

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Vitoria Guimaraes W vs Maritimo W

Portugal Portugal

Taça da Liga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Baleia M.
33' Event
Foster M.
37' Event
Lopes I.

AI Match Summary

Vitoria Guimaraes W in this Taça da Liga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria Guimaraes W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Vitoria Guimaraes W
20%
Draws
40%
Maritimo W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitoria Guimaraes W lately — more wins on the board than Maritimo W.
  • Win probability leans Vitoria Guimaraes W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vitoria Guimaraes W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Vitoria Guimaraes W Clean Sheet 20%
Maritimo W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Guimaraes W Maritimo W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 10 4
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.2 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.4 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga BPI Women
Maritimo W vs Vitoria Guimaraes W
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Liga BPI Women
Vitoria Guimaraes W vs Maritimo W
2:1
Nov 16, 2025 Taça da Liga Women
Vitoria Guimaraes W vs Maritimo W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Guimaraes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Foster M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Baleia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Maritimo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Guimaraes W 58 / 100
Maritimo W 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Guimaraes W Maritimo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Guimaraes W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maritimo W let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Vitoria Guimaraes W's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Maritimo W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Guimaraes W VS Maritimo W
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Guimaraes W

(Home)
19 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes W
0 : 3
Torreense W
12 Sept
Sporting W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
10 May
Braga W
2 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes W
02 May
Vitoria Guimaraes W
0 : 0
Torreense W
25 Apr
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
Page 1 of 6

Maritimo W

(Away)
18 Sept
Sporting W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
12 Sept
Braga W
5 : 0
Maritimo W
30 May
Albergaria/Durit W
0 : 0
Maritimo W
24 May
Maritimo W
1 : 0
Albergaria/Durit W
10 May
Maritimo W
0 : 1
Valadares Gaia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 4 3 0 1 10:5 9
2 Valadares Gaia W 4 3 0 1 9:1 9
3 Braga W 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
4 Vitoria Guimaraes W 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
5 Maritimo W 4 0 1 3 4:17 1
Promotion - Taça da Liga Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting W 4 2 2 0 10:4 8
2 Torreense W 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Rio Ave W 4 2 2 0 4:2 8
4 Racing Power W 4 1 0 3 5:4 3
5 Damaiense W 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
Promotion - Taça da Liga Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)