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Vitoria Sernache vs Oliveira Hospital

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Coquinho
54'
Ekanga Ondoa H. O.
54'
Ekanga Ondoa H. O.

AI Match Summary

Oliveira Hospital in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oliveira Hospital.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Vitoria Sernache
28%
Draws
22%
Oliveira Hospital
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Vitoria Sernache

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Oliveira Hospital haven't matched Vitoria Sernache's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Vitoria Sernache a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Vitoria Sernache Clean Sheet 68%
Oliveira Hospital Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Sernache Oliveira Hospital
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 16 15
Draws 10 11
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 0.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Vitoria Sernache vs Oliveira Hospital
0:0
Apr 26, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Oliveira Hospital vs Vitoria Sernache
1:2
Mar 8, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Vitoria Sernache vs Oliveira Hospital
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Oliveira Hospital vs Vitoria Sernache
0:0
Feb 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Oliveira Hospital vs Vitoria Sernache
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Sernache Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Oliveira Hospital Compare

Top Goalscorer Coquinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Sernache 59 / 100
Oliveira Hospital 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Sernache Oliveira Hospital

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vitoria Sernache found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Vitoria Sernache has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Oliveira Hospital let in goals in 48% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Sernache VS Oliveira Hospital
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Sernache

(Home)
10 Jun
Leca
2 : 1
Vitoria Sernache
31 May
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 1
Louletano
23 May
Malveira
0 : 3
Vitoria Sernache
17 May
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0
Oliveira Hospital
10 May
Louletano
1 : 2
Vitoria Sernache
Page 1 of 6

Oliveira Hospital

(Away)
31 May
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 1
Malveira
23 May
Louletano
2 : 1
Oliveira Hospital
17 May
Vitoria Sernache
0 : 0
Oliveira Hospital
10 May
Malveira
0 : 2
Oliveira Hospital
03 May
Oliveira Hospital
1 : 1
Louletano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria Sernache26167333:1255
2Oliveira Hospital26148439:1350
3Naval 189326146636:2348
4SB Castelo Branco26144843:2646
5Uniao Da Serra26128638:2744
6Mortagua FC26116923:2639
7Os Marialvas261061033:2836
8Fatima26881027:2932
9Lajense26881037:3732
10GD Peniche26861234:4330
11Samora Correia26851327:3529
12Marinhense26591220:3824
13Electrico FC26541733:6219
14SC Lusitania26451724:4817
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)