Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitoria Setubal U19 vs Sacavenense U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2019/2020
Sat, Apr 18, 2020
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vitoria Setubal U19 host Sacavenense U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19 2019/2020. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Sacavenense U19 have shipped 2.27 goals a game lately, while Vitoria Setubal U19 have conceded 1.68 and scored 1.18. Head-to-head, Vitoria Setubal U19 have won 4 to Sacavenense U19's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 7, 2022, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.23 - 1.31) back Vitoria Setubal U19 to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Vitoria Setubal U19
30%
Draws
58%
Sacavenense U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sacavenense U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vitoria Setubal U19 lately — more wins on the board than Sacavenense U19.
  • Sacavenense U19 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional U19 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vitoria Setubal U19 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Vitoria Setubal U19 Clean Sheet 18%
Sacavenense U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Setubal U19 Sacavenense U19
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 11 7
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.18 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sacavenense U19 vs Vitoria Setubal U19
1:1
Mar 12, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Setubal U19 vs Sacavenense U19
3:1
Jan 29, 2022 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sacavenense U19 vs Vitoria Setubal U19
2:3
Oct 30, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Vitoria Setubal U19 vs Sacavenense U19
3:2
Jun 10, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Sacavenense U19 vs Vitoria Setubal U19
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Setubal U19 15 / 100
Sacavenense U19 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Setubal U19 Sacavenense U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sacavenense U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sacavenense U19 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Vitoria Setubal U19 scored in 65% of their last 34 outings.

Vitoria Setubal U19 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Setubal U19 VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Setubal U19

(Home)
25 May
Belenenses U19
1 : 1
Vitoria Setubal U19
19 May
Vitoria Setubal U19
1 : 3
SC Lusitania U19
11 May
Academica U19
3 : 1
Vitoria Setubal U19
04 May
Vitoria Setubal U19
0 : 3
Beira Mar U19
27 Apr
Alverca U19
3 : 0
Vitoria Setubal U19
Page 1 of 7

Sacavenense U19

(Away)
21 May
Vilafranquense U19
1 : 1
Sacavenense U19
14 May
Sacavenense U19
0 : 1
Belenenses U19
07 May
Sacavenense U19
1 : 1
Vitoria Setubal U19
30 Apr
Amora U19
1 : 2
Sacavenense U19
23 Apr
Sacavenense U19
1 : 2
Nacional U19
Page 1 of 6