Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Vitoria Setubal vs Tomar

Portugal Portugal

Primeira Liga 1975/1976
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Primeira Liga 1975/1976 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Vitoria Setubal
15%
Draws
26%
Tomar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vitoria Setubal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Tomar haven't matched Vitoria Setubal's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vitoria Setubal's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Vitoria Setubal Clean Sheet 20%
Tomar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Setubal Tomar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 6 2
Losses 9 23
Goals Scored 1.5 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 1976 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Setubal vs Tomar
2:2
Jan 4, 1976 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs Vitoria Setubal
1:0
Apr 13, 1975 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Setubal vs Tomar
2:1
Dec 15, 1974 Liga Portugal
Tomar vs Vitoria Setubal
1:0
Jan 28, 1973 Liga Portugal
Vitoria Setubal vs Tomar
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria Setubal 76 / 100
Tomar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Setubal Tomar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vitoria Setubal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vitoria Setubal scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Tomar conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Vitoria Setubal has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria Setubal VS Tomar
1.88 Goals Scored 0.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria Setubal

(Home)
20 Sept
Alcains
0 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2
Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Lajense
0 : 1
Vitoria Setubal
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3
Amora
16 Aug
Serpa
4 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
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Tomar

(Away)
07 Apr
Tomar
0 : 4
CD Rabo Peixe
24 Mar
GD Fontinhas
2 : 0
Tomar
17 Mar
Tomar
0 : 2
Sertanense
09 Mar
Tomar
1 : 0
Alverca B
03 Mar
Mortagua FC
1 : 0
Tomar
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