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Vitoria vs Coritiba

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Barradao, Salvador
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Rene
Assist: Luan Candido
23'
Thiago Santos
26'
Tiago Coser

AI Match Summary

Vitoria in this Serie A Betano matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vitoria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Vitoria
39%
Draws
31%
Coritiba
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitoria have won more games recently than Coritiba.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria Coritiba
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Serie A Betano
Vitoria vs Coritiba
4:1
Sep 22, 2021 Serie B
Vitoria vs Coritiba
0:0
Jun 23, 2021 Serie B
Coritiba vs Vitoria
1:0
Nov 30, 2019 Serie B
Vitoria vs Coritiba
1:2
Aug 27, 2019 Serie B
Coritiba vs Vitoria
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Vitoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Rene
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ze Vitor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Coritiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro Rocha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria 41 / 100
Coritiba 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria Coritiba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Vitoria scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Coritiba has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Vitoria remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria VS Coritiba
2.38 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.43
100% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria

(Home)
26 Jul
Remo
2 : 0
Vitoria
23 Jul
Botafogo RJ
0 : 0
Vitoria
16 Jul
Vitoria
1 : 0
Vasco
06 Jun
Vitoria
2 : 1
Fortaleza
03 Jun
Fortaleza
1 : 2
Vitoria
Page 1 of 6

Coritiba

(Away)
26 Jul
Bragantino
0 : 0
Coritiba
22 Jul
Coritiba
1 : 3
Palmeiras
30 May
Flamengo RJ
3 : 0
Coritiba
25 May
Coritiba
3 : 2
Bahia
17 May
Santos
0 : 3
Coritiba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras20135234:1644
2Flamengo RJ19115336:1738
3Athletico-PR20113628:1936
4Fluminense2096530:2533
5Bragantino2094726:2031
6Bahia2087529:2531
7Botafogo RJ2085734:3229
8Atletico-MG2084825:2528
9Corinthians2077622:2028
10Coritiba2076725:2727
11Cruzeiro2076726:3027
12Sao Paulo2075825:2326
13Vitoria2075822:2726
14Santos2057829:3322
15Gremio2057822:2622
16Internacional2056922:2621
17Vasco2056923:3121
18Remo2056923:3221
19Mirassol1955921:2620
20Chapecoense-SC20171219:4110
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)