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Vitoria W vs Alagoinhas W

Brazil Brazil

Baiano Women 2023
Vitoria W Logo

Vitoria W

2 - 0
FT
Alagoinhas W Logo

Alagoinhas W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Baiano Women 2023 game between Vitoria W and Alagoinhas W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Vitoria W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Vitoria W
20%
Draws
51%
Alagoinhas W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alagoinhas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vitoria W come out ahead of Alagoinhas W on wins alone.
  • Alagoinhas W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Baiano Women 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vitoria W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Vitoria W Clean Sheet 12%
Alagoinhas W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vitoria W Alagoinhas W
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 16 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.5 0.67
Goals Conceded 2.75 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 0.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Baiano Women
Vitoria W vs Alagoinhas W
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 Baiano Women
Alagoinhas W vs Vitoria W
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Baiano Women
Vitoria W vs Alagoinhas W
7:1
Oct 27, 2024 Baiano Women
Vitoria W vs Alagoinhas W
7:0
Oct 20, 2024 Baiano Women
Alagoinhas W vs Vitoria W
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vitoria W 27 / 100
Alagoinhas W 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vitoria W Alagoinhas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Vitoria W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (33 games).

Alagoinhas W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Vitoria W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vitoria W VS Alagoinhas W
0.5 Goals Scored 0.67
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.83
88% Over 1.5 33%
75% Over 2.5 17%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Vitoria W

(Home)
02 Aug
Vitoria W
1 : 3
Sao Paulo W
26 Jul
Corinthians W
4 : 0
Vitoria W
17 Jul
Vitoria W
2 : 0
Botafogo RJ W
28 May
Atletico-MG W
3 : 1
Vitoria W
24 May
Vitoria W
2 : 2
Cruzeiro W
Page 1 of 7

Alagoinhas W

(Away)
02 May
Prosperidade W
1 : 0
Alagoinhas W
29 Apr
Penarol W
:
Alagoinhas W
25 Apr
Alagoinhas W
1 : 1
Juventude W
19 Apr
Guarani de Paripueira W
0 : 1
Alagoinhas W
05 Apr
Alagoinhas W
1 : 0
Guarani de Paripueira W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia W 7 7 0 0 50:3 21
2 Vitoria W 7 5 1 1 16:5 16
3 AD Astro W 7 5 0 2 15:7 15
4 Lusaca W 7 4 1 2 22:11 13
5 Jacuipense W 7 3 0 4 14:17 9
6 Alagoinhas W 7 2 0 5 8:16 6
7 Leonico W 7 1 0 6 3:26 3
8 Redencao W 7 0 0 7 1:44 0
Promotion - Baiano Women 2023 (Play Offs)