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Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Romagna Centro

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 game between Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro and Romagna Centro finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Romagna Centro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
35%
Draws
32%
Romagna Centro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro haven't matched Romagna Centro's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Clean Sheet 18%
Romagna Centro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Romagna Centro
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 2 10
Draws 15 11
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.68 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2018 Serie D - Group D
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro vs Romagna Centro
1:3
Nov 12, 2017 Serie D - Group D
Romagna Centro vs Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 36 / 100
Romagna Centro 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Romagna Centro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Romagna Centro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Romagna Centro conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Romagna Centro registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro

(Home)
03 May
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0
Camaiore Calcio
26 Apr
Orvietana
3 : 2
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
19 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1 : 1
Sporting Trestina
12 Apr
Grosseto
2 : 2
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
02 Apr
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
0 : 0
Montevarchi
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Romagna Centro

(Away)
06 May
Romagna Centro
2 : 0
Castelvetro
29 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1
Romagna Centro
22 Apr
Romagna Centro
0 : 2
Pianese
15 Apr
Rimini
3 : 2
Romagna Centro
08 Apr
Romagna Centro
1 : 2
Fiorenzuola
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rimini 38 23 11 4 65:38 80
2 Imolese 38 21 8 9 72:45 71
3 Forli FC 38 18 11 9 60:43 65
4 Fiorenzuola 38 16 16 6 50:32 64
5 Sangiovannese 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
6 Lentigione 38 16 12 10 45:33 60
7 Villabiagio 38 17 8 13 52:49 59
8 Pianese 38 14 16 8 54:35 58
9 Montevarchi 38 16 8 14 42:40 56
10 Romagna Centro 38 14 12 12 49:42 54
11 Sammaurese 38 14 12 12 34:29 54
12 Sasso Marconi 38 11 12 15 35:48 45
13 Vigor Carpaneto 38 9 18 11 50:48 45
14 Tuttocuoio 38 10 12 16 25:34 42
15 Sporting Trestina 38 10 11 17 36:52 41
16 Castelvetro 38 10 8 20 46:62 38
17 Mezzolara 38 7 15 16 34:50 36
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 38 7 12 19 40:62 33
19 Correggese 38 6 14 18 37:55 32
20 Colligiana 38 7 8 23 27:60 29
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2017/2018 (Play Offs)