Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VPS vs AC Oulu

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa
VPS Logo

VPS

1 - 0
FT
AC Oulu Logo

AC Oulu

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Kouassivi-Benissan K.
45' Event
Karjalainen R.
Penalty Missed
46'
Sub
Vahtera J. In: Odhiambo X.
Out: Vahtera J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Veikkausliiga game between VPS and AC Oulu finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VPS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
VPS
15%
Draws
26%
AC Oulu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • VPS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • VPS are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Veikkausliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
VPS Clean Sheet 20%
AC Oulu Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VPS AC Oulu
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 4
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2.29 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs AC Oulu
1:0
Jun 23, 2026 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs AC Oulu
5:1
Apr 18, 2026 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs VPS
1:0
Jan 24, 2026 Liiga Cup
VPS vs AC Oulu
1:4
Oct 4, 2025 Veikkausliiga
AC Oulu vs VPS
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

VPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouassivi-Benissan K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

AC Oulu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VPS 42 / 100
AC Oulu 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VPS AC Oulu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VPS found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

AC Oulu let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: VPS remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

VPS VS AC Oulu
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

VPS

(Home)
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Lahti
22 Aug
Ilves
0 : 1
VPS
14 Aug
VPS
1 : 3
TPS
08 Aug
Jaro
1 : 3
VPS
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AC Oulu

(Away)
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 0
SJK
22 Aug
Jaro
0 : 1
AC Oulu
16 Aug
AC Oulu
2 : 3
Inter Turku
09 Aug
AC Oulu
0 : 1
HJK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 24 12 9 3 39:24 45
2 Inter Turku 24 12 9 3 31:18 45
3 HJK 24 12 5 7 38:28 41
4 Gnistan 24 11 7 6 39:31 40
5 VPS 24 10 6 8 30:23 36
6 AC Oulu 24 10 4 10 26:28 34
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)