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Vulcanico vs Ultramarina

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2011
Vulcanico Logo

Vulcanico

1 - 0
FT
Ultramarina Logo

Ultramarina

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vulcanico in this Campeonato Nacional 2011 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vulcanico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Vulcanico
30%
Draws
16%
Ultramarina
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vulcanico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Vulcanico haven't matched Ultramarina's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Vulcanico's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Vulcanico Clean Sheet 20%
Ultramarina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Vulcanico Ultramarina
Matches Played 26 39
Wins 7 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 0.73 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Vulcanico vs Ultramarina
1:2
May 27, 2017 Campeonato Nacional
Ultramarina vs Vulcanico
2:2
May 22, 2011 Campeonato Nacional
Vulcanico vs Ultramarina
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Vulcanico 76 / 100
Ultramarina 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Vulcanico Ultramarina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vulcanico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ultramarina let in goals in 82% of their last 39 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Vulcanico stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Ultramarina registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ultramarina
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Vulcanico

(Home)
12 May
Vulcanico
1 : 1
Barreirense
05 May
Palmeira
1 : 0
Vulcanico
28 Apr
Sporting Praia
1 : 0
Vulcanico
22 Apr
Vulcanico
2 : 1
Sporting Praia
14 Apr
Barreirense
0 : 1
Vulcanico
Page 1 of 6

Ultramarina

(Away)
24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0
Sanjoanenses
18 May
Boavista da Praia
3 : 0
Ultramarina
11 May
Ultramarina
1 : 1
Academica Praia
02 May
Palmeira
3 : 0
Ultramarina
26 Apr
Mindelense
2 : 1
Ultramarina
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mindelense 5 4 1 0 13:1 13
2 Sporting Praia 5 4 0 1 7:2 12
3 CD Benfica 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
4 Vulcanico 4 1 1 2 3:9 4
5 Ultramarina 5 1 0 4 6:11 3
6 Sport Sal-Rei 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica Porto Novo 4 2 2 0 11:4 8
2 Academico do Sal 4 2 2 0 8:5 8
3 Boavista 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
4 Onze Unidos 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
5 Rosariense 4 0 1 3 4:14 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2011 (Play Offs)