Sport Picks
VV Hoogeveen vs DVS '33 Ermelo
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: DVS '33 Ermelo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to VV Hoogeveen lately — more wins on the board than DVS '33 Ermelo.
- VV Hoogeveen are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
VV Hoogeveen Clean Sheet 14%
DVS '33 Ermelo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VV Hoogeveen | DVS '33 Ermelo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.04 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Hoogeveen vs DVS '33 Ermelo
1:1
Nov 15, 2025 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs VV Hoogeveen
3:0
Feb 24, 2024 Derde Divisie
DVS '33 Ermelo vs VV Hoogeveen
3:0
Sep 23, 2023 Derde Divisie
VV Hoogeveen vs DVS '33 Ermelo
3:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VV Hoogeveen 39 / 100
DVS '33 Ermelo 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VV Hoogeveen DVS '33 Ermelo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VV Hoogeveen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
VV Hoogeveen found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Games between these two average 3.25 goals.
DVS '33 Ermelo has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: VV Hoogeveen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
VV Hoogeveen VS DVS '33 Ermelo
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
VV Hoogeveen
(Home) 19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2 Excelsior 31
12 Sept
VV DOVO
1 : 4 VV Hoogeveen
05 Sept
Sportlust
2 : 2 VV Hoogeveen
02 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
3 : 2 SVZW Wierden
30 Aug
VV Hoogeveen
1 : 3 Purmersteijn
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2 Excelsior 31
02 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
3 : 2 SVZW Wierden
30 Aug
VV Hoogeveen
1 : 3 Purmersteijn
15 Aug
VV Hoogeveen
4 : 3 SVZW Wierden
23 May
VV Hoogeveen
2 : 1 Genemuiden
Page 1 of 3
DVS '33 Ermelo
(Away) 19 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
2 : 1 HVV Hollandia
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4 DVS '33 Ermelo
05 Sept
DVS '33 Ermelo
1 : 3 Sparta Nijkerk
02 Sept
ATC 65
1 : 2 DVS '33 Ermelo
29 Aug
ACV Assen
1 : 1 DVS '33 Ermelo
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
TEC
4 : 4 DVS '33 Ermelo
02 Sept
ATC 65
1 : 2 DVS '33 Ermelo
29 Aug
ACV Assen
1 : 1 DVS '33 Ermelo
15 Aug
Genemuiden
2 : 1 DVS '33 Ermelo
08 Aug
GVVV
3 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
