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VV Hoogeveen vs Staphorst Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VV Hoogeveen in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored VV Hoogeveen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
VV Hoogeveen
15%
Draws
8%
Staphorst
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VV Hoogeveen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VV Hoogeveen lately — more wins on the board than Staphorst.
  • 77% — that's where the model lands on VV Hoogeveen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
VV Hoogeveen Clean Sheet 12%
Staphorst Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VV Hoogeveen Staphorst
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.93 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Hoogeveen vs Staphorst
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs VV Hoogeveen
3:1
May 11, 2024 Derde Divisie
VV Hoogeveen vs Staphorst
1:3
Dec 2, 2023 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs VV Hoogeveen
5:1
Sep 20, 2023 KNVB Beker
VV Hoogeveen vs Staphorst
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VV Hoogeveen 83 / 100
Staphorst 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VV Hoogeveen Staphorst

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VV Hoogeveen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: VV Hoogeveen scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Staphorst conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: VV Hoogeveen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

VV Hoogeveen VS Staphorst
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

VV Hoogeveen

(Home)
03 Oct
VV Hoogeveen
5 : 3
Genemuiden
27 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
1 : 5
VV Hoogeveen
22 Sept
ACV Assen
2 : 1
VV Hoogeveen
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2
Excelsior 31
12 Sept
VV DOVO
1 : 4
VV Hoogeveen
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Staphorst

(Away)
03 Oct
Staphorst
0 : 3
TEC
26 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
3 : 2
Staphorst
22 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3
Genemuiden
19 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3
ACV Assen
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1
Staphorst
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)