Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VV Noordwijk vs SteDoCo

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark Duinwetering, Noordwijk
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

VV Noordwijk in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored VV Noordwijk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
VV Noordwijk
30%
Draws
19%
SteDoCo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: VV Noordwijk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to VV Noordwijk lately — more wins on the board than SteDoCo.
  • Model gives VV Noordwijk a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
VV Noordwijk Clean Sheet 20%
SteDoCo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VV Noordwijk SteDoCo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 19
Goals Scored 1.97 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.2 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Noordwijk vs SteDoCo
3:1
Nov 29, 2025 Derde Divisie
SteDoCo vs VV Noordwijk
0:4
Feb 2, 2019 Derde Divisie
VV Noordwijk vs SteDoCo
0:1
Sep 1, 2018 Derde Divisie
SteDoCo vs VV Noordwijk
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VV Noordwijk 85 / 100
SteDoCo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VV Noordwijk SteDoCo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VV Noordwijk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

VV Noordwijk scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: SteDoCo conceded in 88% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

VV Noordwijk has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

VV Noordwijk VS SteDoCo
2 Goals Scored 1.14
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.57
88% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

VV Noordwijk

(Home)
19 Sept
TOGB
0 : 3
VV Noordwijk
12 Sept
VV Noordwijk
2 : 0
VVSB
05 Sept
Excelsior Maassluis
0 : 0
VV Noordwijk
02 Sept
GOES
0 : 1
VV Noordwijk
29 Aug
VV Noordwijk
1 : 0
Roosendaal
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SteDoCo

(Away)
06 Jun
EVV
1 : 1
SteDoCo
03 Jun
SteDoCo
0 : 1
EVV
30 May
SteDoCo
3 : 1
FC 's-Gravenzande
27 May
FC 's-Gravenzande
1 : 1
SteDoCo
23 May
SteDoCo
1 : 5
VV Kloetinge
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rohda Raalte 34 20 7 7 63:36 67
2 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 17 11 6 59:39 62
3 Sparta Nijkerk 34 19 4 11 84:43 61
4 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 17 9 8 46:36 60
5 Genemuiden 34 17 5 12 61:52 56
6 Staphorst 34 17 3 14 63:53 54
7 Harkemase Boys 34 14 10 10 56:44 52
8 VV DOVO 34 15 7 12 53:43 52
9 Eemdijk 34 14 8 12 68:59 50
10 VV Scherpenzeel 34 14 7 13 59:49 49
11 VV Hoogeveen 34 14 6 14 54:64 48
12 Sportlust 34 14 5 15 54:52 47
13 USV Hercules 34 13 5 16 53:57 44
14 Excelsior 31 34 12 4 18 49:57 40
15 Huizen 34 11 7 16 51:63 40
16 TEC 34 12 4 18 48:64 40
17 Urk 34 8 7 19 61:97 31
18 HSC '21 34 1 5 28 35:109 8
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Kloetinge 34 22 7 5 68:43 73
2 Lisse 34 20 8 6 67:33 68
3 VVSB 34 21 5 8 70:37 68
4 Rijnvogels 34 19 7 8 63:39 64
5 Gemert 34 17 10 7 71:46 61
6 Roosendaal 34 15 9 10 71:58 54
7 TOGB 34 15 8 11 64:61 53
8 VV Zwaluwen 34 15 6 13 61:48 51
9 Blauw Geel 34 14 6 14 53:51 48
10 VV Noordwijk 34 12 8 14 56:51 44
11 RKSV UDI 19 34 11 6 17 57:74 39
12 UNA 34 10 8 16 51:59 38
13 GOES 34 10 7 17 43:61 37
14 Groene Ster 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
15 SteDoCo 34 10 4 20 35:69 34
16 SVV Scheveningen 34 9 5 20 49:65 32
17 Meerssen 34 8 7 19 47:70 31
18 ASWH 34 6 7 21 45:87 25
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)