Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2025/2026 game between VV Scherpenzeel and Staphorst finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VV Scherpenzeel
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and VV Scherpenzeel come out ahead of Staphorst on wins alone.
- VV Scherpenzeel are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
VV Scherpenzeel Clean Sheet 13%
Staphorst Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | VV Scherpenzeel | Staphorst |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 21, 2026 Derde Divisie
VV Scherpenzeel vs Staphorst
3:3
Sep 20, 2025 Derde Divisie
Staphorst vs VV Scherpenzeel
5:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
VV Scherpenzeel 57 / 100
Staphorst 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
VV Scherpenzeel Staphorst
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick VV Scherpenzeel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: VV Scherpenzeel scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Staphorst conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.
VV Scherpenzeel has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
VV Scherpenzeel VS Staphorst
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
VV Scherpenzeel
(Home) 19 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
1 : 0 Genemuiden
13 Sept
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 1 VV Scherpenzeel
05 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
01 Sept
Alkmaarse FC 1934
4 : 1 VV Scherpenzeel
29 Aug
VV DOVO
2 : 3 VV Scherpenzeel
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
1 : 0 Genemuiden
05 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
22 Aug
VV Scherpenzeel
2 : 1 VV Hoogeveen
23 May
VV Scherpenzeel
4 : 4 HSC '21
09 May
VV Scherpenzeel
4 : 0 Genemuiden
Page 1 of 3
Staphorst
(Away) 22 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3 Genemuiden
19 Sept
Staphorst
2 : 3 ACV Assen
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1 Staphorst
05 Sept
Staphorst
1 : 2 Genemuiden
02 Sept
Staphorst
3 : 2 UNA
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Harkemase Boys
1 : 1 Staphorst
29 Aug
ADO 20 Heemskerk
0 : 0 Staphorst
15 Aug
VV DOVO
2 : 2 Staphorst
16 May
Excelsior 31
3 : 1 Staphorst
25 Apr
ADO 20 Heemskerk
2 : 0 Staphorst
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
