Sport Picks

Stadium Background

VVSB vs Lisse

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lisse in this Derde Divisie matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lisse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
VVSB
15%
Draws
54%
Lisse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lisse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lisse lately — more wins on the board than VVSB.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Lisse here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
VVSB Clean Sheet 11%
Lisse Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric VVSB Lisse
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 20
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 2.1 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs Lisse
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs VVSB
3:0
Nov 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs Lisse
2:1
Jan 25, 2025 Derde Divisie
VVSB vs Lisse
0:1
Aug 31, 2024 Derde Divisie
Lisse vs VVSB
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

VVSB 30 / 100
Lisse 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
VVSB Lisse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lisse Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: VVSB scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

VVSB has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Lisse let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

VVSB VS Lisse
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

VVSB

(Home)
05 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2
Lisse
02 Sept
VVSB
2 : 0
Ajax (Am)
30 Aug
Groene Ster
3 : 3
VVSB
22 Aug
VVSB
0 : 2
RKSV UDI 19
15 Aug
SV Poortugaal
0 : 1
VVSB
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Lisse

(Away)
05 Sept
VVSB
1 : 2
Lisse
01 Sept
Genemuiden
2 : 1
Lisse
29 Aug
Lisse
1 : 0
Excelsior Maassluis
22 Aug
Roosendaal
0 : 1
Lisse
18 Aug
Lisse
4 : 2
Aalsmeer
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Genemuiden 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
2 Harkemase Boys 4 4 0 0 10:5 12
3 ACV Assen 4 3 1 0 7:1 10
4 Excelsior 31 4 3 0 1 13:5 9
5 VV Scherpenzeel 4 3 0 1 9:7 9
6 Purmersteijn 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
7 ADO 20 Heemskerk 4 2 1 1 10:9 7
8 TEC 4 2 0 2 9:8 6
9 Sportlust 4 1 3 0 8:7 6
10 Sparta Nijkerk 4 1 2 1 12:12 5
11 VV DOVO 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
12 VV Hoogeveen 4 1 1 2 8:10 4
13 Eemdijk 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
14 Staphorst 4 0 2 2 5:8 2
15 HVV Hollandia 4 0 1 3 10:14 1
16 DVS '33 Ermelo 4 0 1 3 3:7 1
17 SVZW Wierden 4 0 1 3 8:15 1
18 USV Hercules 4 0 0 4 4:15 0
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lisse 4 4 0 0 8:2 12
2 VV Noordwijk 4 3 1 0 7:0 10
3 SV Poortugaal 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
4 Dongen 4 3 0 1 12:9 9
5 Rijnvogels 4 2 2 0 11:5 8
6 RKSV UDI 19 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
7 UNA 4 1 3 0 7:4 6
8 Roosendaal 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
9 Excelsior Maassluis 4 1 2 1 4:3 5
10 GOES 4 1 2 1 8:10 5
11 VVSB 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
12 VV Zwaluwen 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
13 Gemert 4 0 3 1 7:8 3
14 Achilles Veen 4 1 0 3 4:13 3
15 TOGB 4 0 2 2 6:9 2
16 Blauw Geel 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
17 Groene Ster 4 0 2 2 8:12 2
18 EVV 4 0 0 4 5:11 0
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)