Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wairarapa United vs Stop Out SC Prediction & H2H Stats

New Zealand New Zealand

Chatham Cup 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wairarapa United in this Chatham Cup 2018 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Wairarapa United
15%
Draws
0%
Stop Out SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wairarapa United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wairarapa United lately — more wins on the board than Stop Out SC.
  • Model gives Wairarapa United a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Wairarapa United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Wairarapa United, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Wairarapa United Clean Sheet 13%
Stop Out SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wairarapa United Stop Out SC
Matches Played 6 4
Wins 2 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 4
Goals Scored 1.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.83 4.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2018 Chatham Cup
Wairarapa United vs Stop Out SC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wairarapa United 84 / 100
Stop Out SC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wairarapa United Stop Out SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wairarapa United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wairarapa United scored in 83% of their last 6 outings.

Stop Out SC let in goals in 100% of their last 4 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Stop Out SC registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wairarapa United VS Stop Out SC
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2.83 Goals Conceded 4.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
83% Over 2.5 100%
33% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Wairarapa United

(Home)
04 Aug
Wairarapa United
1 : 2
Birkenhead
14 Jul
Wairarapa United
2 : 1
Stop Out SC
06 Aug
Central United
2 : 0
Wairarapa United
15 Jul
Wairarapa United
2 : 1
Miramar
16 Jul
Wairarapa United
2 : 4
Miramar
Page 1 of 2

Stop Out SC

(Away)
06 Jul
Wellington Olympic
8 : 0
Stop Out SC
14 Jul
Wairarapa United
2 : 1
Stop Out SC
15 Jul
Stop Out SC
1 : 5
Western Suburbs
07 Jul
Miramar
4 : 0
Stop Out SC

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Manukau United 3
Mt Albert Ponsonby 1
Cashmere Technical 2
Roslyn Wakari 0
Melville 1
Onehunga 3
North Wellington 1
Western Suburbs 4
Wairarapa United 2
Stop Out SC 1
Birkenhead 4
Western Springs 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 1
Green Island AFC 0
Central United 0
East Coast 5
Quarter-finals
Manukau United 1
Cashmere Technical 2
Onehunga 1
Western Suburbs 4
Wairarapa United 1
Birkenhead 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 1
East Coast 0
Semi-finals
Cashmere Technical 2
Western Suburbs 3
Birkenhead 2
Nelson Suburbs FC 0
Final
Western Suburbs 1
Birkenhead 2