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Wake FC vs North Carolina FC U23

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2025 game between Wake FC and North Carolina FC U23 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Carolina FC U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Wake FC
20%
Draws
38%
North Carolina FC U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wake FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • North Carolina FC U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Wake FC a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League Two 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and North Carolina FC U23 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Wake FC Clean Sheet 10%
North Carolina FC U23 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wake FC North Carolina FC U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 USL League Two
Wake FC vs North Carolina FC U23
1:2
Jun 10, 2026 USL League Two
North Carolina FC U23 vs Wake FC
3:1
Jul 12, 2025 USL League Two
North Carolina FC U23 vs Wake FC
4:1
Jun 4, 2025 USL League Two
Wake FC vs North Carolina FC U23
2:3
Jul 6, 2024 USL League Two
North Carolina FC U23 vs Wake FC
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wake FC 40 / 100
North Carolina FC U23 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wake FC North Carolina FC U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Carolina FC U23 has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Wake FC's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

North Carolina FC U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wake FC VS North Carolina FC U23
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wake FC

(Home)
11 Jul
Salem City
1 : 0
Wake FC
08 Jul
Wake FC
3 : 1
Port City
27 Jun
Tobacco Road
2 : 3
Wake FC
23 Jun
Wake FC
0 : 4
Charlotte Independence 2
20 Jun
Hickory FC
2 : 1
Wake FC
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North Carolina FC U23

(Away)
11 Jul
Charlotte Independence 2
3 : 1
North Carolina FC U23
08 Jul
North Carolina FC U23
3 : 5
Charlotte Eagles
05 Jul
North Carolina FC U23
1 : 2
Asheville City
01 Jul
North Carolina FC U23
0 : 0
Tobacco Road
20 Jun
North Carolina FC U23
1 : 1
Port City
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