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Wales U19 vs Finland U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Rodney Parade, Newport
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gardner L.
22'
Sub
Tiitinen O. In: Haikala A.
Out: Tiitinen O.
31'
Palmula L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Euro U19 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Wales U19
35%
Draws
46%
Finland U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Finland U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Finland U19 have won more games recently than Wales U19.
  • Win probability leans Wales U19's way, sitting at 36%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Wales U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Finland U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wales U19 Finland U19
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.41 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.09 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2026 Euro U19
Wales U19 vs Finland U19
2:2
Sep 11, 2023 Friendly International
Finland U19 vs Wales U19
0:1
Sep 8, 2023 Friendly International
Finland U19 vs Wales U19
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gardner L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pita S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Finland U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Katz B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales U19 34 / 100
Finland U19 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wales U19 Finland U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finland U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Wales U19 found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Wales U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wales U19 VS Finland U19
0.38 Goals Scored 1
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Wales U19

(Home)
11 Nov
Wales U19
2 : 2
Finland U19
05 Oct
Wales U19
0 : 0
Northern Ireland U19
02 Oct
Wales U19
0 : 2
Norway U19
29 Sept
USA U19
2 : 0
Wales U19
04 Jul
Denmark U19
3 : 0
Wales U19
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Finland U19

(Away)
11 Nov
Wales U19
2 : 2
Finland U19
30 Sept
Finland U19
1 : 2
Germany U19
27 Sept
Sweden U19
2 : 2
Finland U19
24 Sept
Scotland U19
3 : 1
Finland U19
31 Mar
Slovenia U19
0 : 1
Finland U19
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