Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wales U21 vs Belgium U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 Rodney Parade, Newport
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Mokio J.
Assist: Moreira D.
40' Event
Stassin L.
Assist: Dams M.
45'
James E.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Wales U21 and Belgium U21 finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belgium U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Wales U21
15%
Draws
51%
Belgium U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belgium U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Belgium U21 come out ahead of Wales U21 on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Belgium U21 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Belgium U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Wales U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Belgium U21 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wales U21 Belgium U21
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.48 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.79 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2025 Euro U21
Wales U21 vs Belgium U21
0:7
Oct 9, 2020 Euro U21
Belgium U21 vs Wales U21
5:0
Sep 6, 2019 Euro U21
Wales U21 vs Belgium U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Belgium U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stassin L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mokio J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales U21 10 / 100
Belgium U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wales U21 Belgium U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belgium U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Wales U21 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Belgium U21 has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Wales U21 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wales U21 VS Belgium U21
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wales U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Denmark U21
4 : 0
Wales U21
27 Mar
Wales U21
2 : 0
Belarus U21
14 Nov
Belarus U21
3 : 0
Wales U21
14 Oct
Austria U21
0 : 2
Wales U21
10 Oct
Wales U21
0 : 7
Belgium U21
Page 1 of 6

Belgium U21

(Away)
30 Mar
Netherlands U21
2 : 1
Belgium U21
27 Mar
Belgium U21
1 : 0
Austria U21
14 Nov
Austria U21
1 : 0
Belgium U21
14 Oct
Belgium U21
2 : 0
Denmark U21
10 Oct
Wales U21
0 : 7
Belgium U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 7 7 0 0 26:2 21
2 Finland U21 7 5 1 1 26:2 16
3 Romania U21 7 4 1 2 8:4 13
4 Kosovo U21 8 3 2 3 15:6 11
5 Cyprus U21 7 1 0 6 5:24 3
6 San Marino U21 8 0 0 8 0:42 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 7 6 1 0 28:0 19
2 Czech Republic U21 7 4 2 1 15:3 14
3 Scotland U21 8 3 2 3 18:10 11
4 Bulgaria U21 7 3 2 2 7:6 11
5 Azerbaijan U21 7 1 3 3 5:18 6
6 Gibraltar U21 8 0 0 8 1:37 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U21 6 5 1 0 21:4 16
2 Switzerland U21 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
3 Iceland U21 7 3 2 2 14:9 11
4 Faroe Islands U21 7 3 0 4 6:13 9
5 Luxembourg U21 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
6 Estonia U21 7 0 2 5 8:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 7 6 1 0 18:2 19
2 Slovakia U21 7 5 1 1 15:10 16
3 Ireland U21 7 3 2 2 7:10 11
4 Andorra U21 8 2 1 5 6:10 7
5 Moldova U21 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
6 Kazakhstan U21 7 1 1 5 4:10 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U21 8 8 0 0 23:2 24
2 Italy U21 8 7 0 1 25:5 21
3 Montenegro U21 8 3 1 4 11:14 10
4 Sweden U21 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
5 North Macedonia U21 8 2 0 6 7:17 6
6 Armenia U21 8 0 0 8 4:23 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 7 6 0 1 22:4 18
2 Greece U21 7 6 0 1 21:4 18
3 Northern Ireland U21 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
4 Georgia U21 7 2 3 2 12:9 9
5 Latvia U21 7 1 2 4 4:12 5
6 Malta U21 7 0 0 7 1:28 0
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U21 5 4 0 1 12:4 12
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 6 1 4 1 2:1 7
3 Israel U21 6 1 4 1 6:7 7
4 Netherlands U21 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
5 Slovenia U21 6 1 2 3 3:10 5
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U21 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 Turkey U21 6 3 2 1 7:6 11
3 Ukraine U21 6 2 2 2 10:7 8
4 Hungary U21 5 0 3 2 6:9 3
5 Lithuania U21 6 0 2 4 3:14 2
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U21 6 4 1 1 12:2 13
2 Austria U21 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
3 Denmark U21 5 3 1 1 12:5 10
4 Wales U21 6 2 0 4 6:20 6
5 Belarus U21 7 1 1 5 7:10 4
Promotion - Euro U21 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 (Promotion)