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Wales U21 vs Liechtenstein U21

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Low J.
32'
Schlegel S.
46'
Sub
Hughes B. In: Hollingshead R.
Out: Hughes B.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Wales U21 and Liechtenstein U21 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wales U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Wales U21
6%
Draws
4%
Liechtenstein U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wales U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wales U21 come out ahead of Liechtenstein U21 on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Wales U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Wales U21 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Wales U21 Clean Sheet 18%
Liechtenstein U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wales U21 Liechtenstein U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 2
Draws 4 0
Losses 14 28
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2023 Friendly International
Wales U21 vs Liechtenstein U21
4:0
Sep 7, 2018 Euro U21
Wales U21 vs Liechtenstein U21
2:1
Oct 5, 2017 Euro U21
Liechtenstein U21 vs Wales U21
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wales U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Low J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colwill R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Liechtenstein U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wales U21 85 / 100
Liechtenstein U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wales U21 Liechtenstein U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Liechtenstein U21 conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Wales U21 found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Difficult form: Liechtenstein U21 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wales U21 VS Liechtenstein U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Wales U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Denmark U21
4 : 0
Wales U21
27 Mar
Wales U21
2 : 0
Belarus U21
14 Nov
Belarus U21
3 : 0
Wales U21
14 Oct
Austria U21
0 : 2
Wales U21
10 Oct
Wales U21
0 : 7
Belgium U21
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Liechtenstein U21

(Away)
11 Mar
North Macedonia U20
1 : 0
Liechtenstein U21
03 Dec
Liechtenstein U21
0 : 3
North Macedonia U20
21 Jun
Liechtenstein U21
3 : 1
Gibraltar U21
08 Sept
Wales U21
4 : 0
Liechtenstein U21
07 Jun
Liechtenstein U21
0 : 9
Portugal U21
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