Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Bescot Stadium, Walsall

Walsall

Tue, Oct 28, 2025

1 - 0

07:00 PM

Chelsea U21

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Runham F.

45'

Harper V.

61'

Sub

Harrison O. In: Walsh R.

Out: Harrison O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Walsall advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Walsall

35%

Draws

35%

Chelsea U21

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Chelsea U21 come out ahead of Walsall on wins alone.
Model gives Walsall a 36% chance of winning this.
Chelsea U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Walsall, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Walsall have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Walsall Clean Sheet 19%

Chelsea U21 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Walsall	Chelsea U21
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	8	14
Draws	9	2
Losses	13	12
Goals Scored	0.97	2.04
Goals Conceded	1.37	1.71
Expected Goals (xG)	1.10	1.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 EFL Trophy

Walsall vs Chelsea U21

1:0

Sep 29, 2020 EFL Trophy

Walsall vs Chelsea U21

1:2

Dec 3, 2019 EFL Trophy

Walsall vs Chelsea U21

3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Walsall 36 / 100

Chelsea U21 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Walsall Chelsea U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chelsea U21 conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Walsall remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Walsall scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Walsall VS Chelsea U21

0.63 Goals Scored 1.43

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.57

38% Over 1.5 57%

38% Over 2.5 57%

25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Walsall

(Home)

05 Sept

Exeter

0 : 0

Walsall

01 Sept

Crewe

2 : 2

Walsall

29 Aug

Walsall

3 : 2

Accrington

25 Aug

Walsall

0 : 1

Leyton Orient

22 Aug

Walsall

0 : 0

Grimsby

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Chelsea U21

(Away)

31 Aug

Chelsea U21

5 : 4

West Ham U21

25 Aug

Bristol Rovers

2 : 3

Chelsea U21

21 Aug

Bournemouth U21

2 : 1

Chelsea U21

21 Jul

Chelsea U21

0 : 0

Cardiff U21

01 May

Chelsea U21

1 : 3

Tottenham U21

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