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Warrenpoint vs Moyola

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship Milltown, Warrenpoint
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Warrenpoint in this NIFL Championship matchup, with the score ending 6-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Warrenpoint.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Warrenpoint
15%
Draws
39%
Moyola
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Warrenpoint

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Moyola lately — more wins on the board than Warrenpoint.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Warrenpoint taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Warrenpoint have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Warrenpoint Clean Sheet 17%
Moyola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warrenpoint Moyola
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 4 1
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.2 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 NIFL Championship
Warrenpoint vs Moyola
6:2
Apr 30, 2011 IFA Championship 2
Moyola vs Warrenpoint
1:2
Aug 14, 2010 IFA Championship 2
Warrenpoint vs Moyola
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warrenpoint 84 / 100
Moyola 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warrenpoint Moyola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warrenpoint Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Moyola conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Warrenpoint has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Moyola has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Warrenpoint VS Moyola
2 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Warrenpoint

(Home)
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2
Moyola
05 Sept
Warrenpoint
0 : 1
Newington FC
28 Aug
Loughgall
3 : 3
Warrenpoint
21 Aug
Newry City
0 : 3
Warrenpoint
15 Aug
Warrenpoint
1 : 3
Ards
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Moyola

(Away)
12 Sept
Warrenpoint
6 : 2
Moyola
05 Sept
Moyola
1 : 4
Harland & Wolff
28 Aug
Moyola
1 : 0
Armagh
22 Aug
Annagh
2 : 0
Moyola
15 Aug
Moyola
2 : 0
Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newington FC 8 5 2 1 20:11 17
2 Annagh 8 5 2 1 18:12 17
3 Queens University 8 5 1 2 18:6 16
4 Harland & Wolff 8 5 0 3 15:10 15
5 Glenavon 8 4 2 2 18:12 14
6 Ballinamallard 8 4 1 3 15:11 13
7 Institute 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
8 Newry City 8 3 3 2 12:14 12
9 Ards 8 3 2 3 11:11 11
10 Warrenpoint 8 3 1 4 15:14 10
11 Loughgall 8 2 4 2 11:14 10
12 Dundela 8 1 5 2 16:18 8
13 Moyola 8 2 2 4 9:17 8
14 Strabane Athletic 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
15 Armagh 8 0 4 4 8:14 4
16 Rathfriland Rangers 8 1 0 7 6:19 3
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)