Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Warta Sieradz vs Pilica Bialobrzegi

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Adamiak K.
22' Event
Kazimierczak A.
(Penalty)
41'
Kacprzycki K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 game between Warta Sieradz and Pilica Bialobrzegi finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Warta Sieradz
6%
Draws
4%
Pilica Bialobrzegi
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Warta Sieradz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pilica Bialobrzegi haven't matched Warta Sieradz's recent run of results.
  • Warta Sieradz are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 18%
Pilica Bialobrzegi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Warta Sieradz Pilica Bialobrzegi
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 4 21
Goals Scored 2.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 4
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Pilica Bialobrzegi
1:1
Aug 12, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Warta Sieradz
1:1
May 20, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Warta Sieradz
1:1
Oct 15, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Pilica Bialobrzegi
0:0
May 4, 2016 III Liga - Group VI
Pilica Bialobrzegi vs Warta Sieradz
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Warta Sieradz Compare

Top Goalscorer Adamiak K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Pilica Bialobrzegi Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Warta Sieradz 85 / 100
Pilica Bialobrzegi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Warta Sieradz Pilica Bialobrzegi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Warta Sieradz scored in 100% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Pilica Bialobrzegi conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Pilica Bialobrzegi's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Warta Sieradz VS Pilica Bialobrzegi
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Warta Sieradz

(Home)
25 Jul
Warta Sieradz
3 : 0
Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz
17 Jul
Kluczbork
1 : 3
Warta Sieradz
15 Jul
Warta Sieradz
2 : 1
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
11 Jul
Warta Sieradz
3 : 4
Elana Torun
08 Jul
Warta Sieradz
1 : 0
LKS Lodz II
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Pilica Bialobrzegi

(Away)
11 Jul
Bron Radom
4 : 0
Pilica Bialobrzegi
08 Jun
LKS Lomza
3 : 0
Pilica Bialobrzegi
01 Jun
Pilica Bialobrzegi
2 : 3
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
25 May
Unia Skierniewice
5 : 0
Pilica Bialobrzegi
19 May
Pilica Bialobrzegi
2 : 6
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki342374106:3276
2Unia Skierniewice34198778:4665
3Legia II34198770:4065
4Swit Mazowiecki341511870:5256
5GKS Belchatow341681058:4956
6Tomaszow Mazowiecki341581166:5453
7Pelikan341571252:4052
8LKS Lomza341461452:5148
9Bron Radom3412121039:4348
10Warta Sieradz341351643:4844
11GKS Wikielec3411101337:4643
12MKS Mlawa341191443:5042
13Jagiellonia II341261648:5842
14Victoria Sulejowek341181541:4841
15Olimpia Zambrow3410101452:4840
16Concordia Elblag34862037:9830
17Legionowo34762141:7127
18Pilica Bialobrzegi34472330:8919
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