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Washington Spirit W vs Gotham FC W

USA USA

NWSL Women 2025 PayPal Park, San Jose, CA
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Reale L.
57'
Sub
Cantore S. In: Rodman T.
Out: Cantore S.
63'
Sub
Reale L. In: Bruninha
Out: Reale L.

AI Match Summary

Gotham FC W in this NWSL Women 2025 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Washington Spirit W
30%
Draws
34%
Gotham FC W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Washington Spirit W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Washington Spirit W lately — more wins on the board than Gotham FC W.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Washington Spirit W taking it.
  • Washington Spirit W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Gotham FC W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Washington Spirit W Clean Sheet 19%
Gotham FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Washington Spirit W Gotham FC W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Washington Spirit W
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Gotham FC W
0:1
Oct 1, 2025 CONCACAF Champions Cup Women
Gotham FC W vs Washington Spirit W
0:0
Aug 9, 2025 NWSL Women
Gotham FC W vs Washington Spirit W
0:0
Apr 26, 2025 NWSL Women
Washington Spirit W vs Gotham FC W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Washington Spirit W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Gotham FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lavelle R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Washington Spirit W 36 / 100
Gotham FC W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Washington Spirit W Gotham FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Washington Spirit W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Washington Spirit W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Gotham FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Washington Spirit W VS Gotham FC W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Washington Spirit W

(Home)
26 Jul
Washington Spirit W
1 : 0
Denver Summit W
19 Jul
Boston Legacy W
1 : 2
Washington Spirit W
16 Jul
Gotham FC W
1 : 0
Washington Spirit W
11 Jul
North Carolina Courage W
0 : 2
Washington Spirit W
04 Jul
Washington Spirit W
2 : 1
Houston Dash W
Page 1 of 6

Gotham FC W

(Away)
25 Jul
Portland Thorns FC W
2 : 2
Gotham FC W
18 Jul
Gotham FC W
3 : 2
Seattle Reign W
16 Jul
Gotham FC W
1 : 0
Washington Spirit W
11 Jul
Utah Royals W
1 : 3
Gotham FC W
05 Jul
San Diego Wave W
2 : 0
Gotham FC W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Washington Spirit W2
Racing Louisville W1
Portland Thorns FC W1
San Diego Wave W0
Orlando Pride W2
Seattle Reign W0
Kansas City Current W1
Gotham FC W2
Semi-finals
Washington Spirit W2
Portland Thorns FC W0
Orlando Pride W0
Gotham FC W1
Final
Washington Spirit W0
Gotham FC W1