Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wasilkow vs Warta Sieradz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Trubnikov O.
66' Event
Krecichwost B.
69' Event
Sojka A.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Wasilkow and Warta Sieradz finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Warta Sieradz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Wasilkow
30%
Draws
54%
Warta Sieradz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Warta Sieradz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Warta Sieradz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Warta Sieradz are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Wasilkow Clean Sheet 10%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wasilkow Warta Sieradz
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 19
Draws 4 8
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 1.27 2
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Wasilkow vs Warta Sieradz
0:3
Oct 17, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Wasilkow
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wasilkow Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Warta Sieradz Compare

Top Goalscorer Trubnikov O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Krecichwost B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wasilkow 26 / 100
Warta Sieradz 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wasilkow Warta Sieradz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warta Sieradz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wasilkow scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Warta Sieradz conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Wasilkow remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wasilkow VS Warta Sieradz
1 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Wasilkow

(Home)
30 May
Jagiellonia II
1 : 1
Wasilkow
23 May
Wasilkow
1 : 4
Bron Radom
16 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3
Suwalki
13 May
Wasilkow
3 : 3
Znicz Biala Piska
09 May
Wasilkow
0 : 3
Warta Sieradz
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Warta Sieradz

(Away)
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2
Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2
Warta Sieradz
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
29 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 1
Warta Sieradz
22 Aug
Warta Sieradz
0 : 4
Zabkovia Zabki
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Legia II 34 27 3 4 82:29 84
2 LKS Lomza 34 22 5 7 77:31 71
3 Warta Sieradz 34 21 8 5 64:34 71
4 Suwalki 34 20 5 9 64:43 65
5 Troszyn 34 17 6 11 75:47 57
6 Plock II 34 16 8 10 56:51 56
7 Widzew Lodz II 34 17 3 14 70:64 54
8 Jagiellonia II 34 14 7 13 46:45 49
9 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 13 8 13 64:55 47
10 Zabkovia Zabki 34 13 5 16 72:64 44
11 Swit Mazowiecki 34 12 5 17 51:66 41
12 MKS Mlawa 34 11 7 16 55:59 40
13 Olimpia Elblag 34 10 8 16 45:61 38
14 GKS Wikielec 34 10 7 17 40:54 37
15 Bron Radom 34 9 9 16 40:57 36
16 GKS Belchatow 34 9 7 18 50:76 34
17 Wasilkow 34 7 4 23 40:79 25
18 Znicz Biala Piska 34 4 3 27 27:103 15
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)