Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026

Wasilkow

0 - 3

Warta Sieradz

Our Tip

Match Events

39'

Trubnikov O.

66'

Krecichwost B.

69'

Sojka A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Wasilkow and Warta Sieradz finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Warta Sieradz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Wasilkow

11%

Draws

80%

Warta Sieradz

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Warta Sieradz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Warta Sieradz carry the better recent record into this one.
Warta Sieradz are the model's pick here, at 80%.
Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%

Wasilkow Clean Sheet 10%

Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Wasilkow	Warta Sieradz
Matches Played	30	27
Wins	6	15
Draws	4	7
Losses	20	5
Goals Scored	1.63	1.88
Goals Conceded	2.38	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 III Liga - Group I

Wasilkow vs Warta Sieradz

Possession: 51% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

0:3

Oct 17, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Warta Sieradz vs Wasilkow

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wasilkow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Warta Sieradz Compare

Top Goalscorer Trubnikov O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Krecichwost B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wasilkow 10 / 100

Warta Sieradz 74 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Wasilkow Warta Sieradz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAR Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Wasilkow scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Warta Sieradz conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Wasilkow remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Wasilkow VS Warta Sieradz

1.63 Goals Scored 1.88

2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13

100% Over 1.5 75%

100% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia II	34	27	3	4	82:29	84
2	LKS Lomza	34	22	5	7	77:31	71
3	Warta Sieradz	34	21	8	5	64:34	71
4	Suwalki	34	20	5	9	64:43	65
5	Troszyn	34	17	6	11	75:47	57
6	Plock II	34	16	8	10	56:51	56
7	Widzew Lodz II	34	17	3	14	70:64	54
8	Jagiellonia II	34	14	7	13	46:45	49
9	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	64:55	47
10	Zabkovia Zabki	34	13	5	16	72:64	44
11	Swit Mazowiecki	34	12	5	17	51:66	41
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	7	16	55:59	40
13	Olimpia Elblag	34	10	8	16	45:61	38
14	GKS Wikielec	34	10	7	17	40:54	37
15	Bron Radom	34	9	9	16	40:57	36
16	GKS Belchatow	34	9	7	18	50:76	34
17	Wasilkow	34	7	4	23	40:79	25
18	Znicz Biala Piska	34	4	3	27	27:103	15