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Waterford vs Kerry

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Lonergan T.
20' Event
Murphy C.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Carty C.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Waterford and Kerry finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Waterford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Waterford
28%
Draws
22%
Kerry
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Waterford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Waterford demonstrates higher offensive output (2 avg goals) than Kerry (1.38 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Waterford.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Waterford Clean Sheet 68%
Kerry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waterford Kerry
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Waterford vs Kerry
3:2
Oct 14, 2023 Division 1
Kerry vs Waterford
1:1
Aug 4, 2023 Division 1
Waterford vs Kerry
3:0
Jun 5, 2023 Division 1
Kerry vs Waterford
0:6
Apr 14, 2023 Division 1
Waterford vs Kerry
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waterford Compare

Top Goalscorer Lonergan T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carty C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Kerry Compare

Top Goalscorer McGrath S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waterford 59 / 100
Kerry 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waterford Kerry

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Waterford scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Kerry let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Waterford went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kerry lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Waterford VS Kerry
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%