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Waterhouse vs Spanish Town Police

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League Waterhouse Mini Stadium, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Murray C.
41' Event
Thomas D.
51' Event
Murray C.

AI Match Summary

Waterhouse in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Waterhouse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Waterhouse
6%
Draws
4%
Spanish Town Police
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Waterhouse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Waterhouse lately — more wins on the board than Spanish Town Police.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Waterhouse taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Waterhouse have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Waterhouse Clean Sheet 68%
Spanish Town Police Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Waterhouse Spanish Town Police
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.75 1
Goals Conceded 0.75 3.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 3.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Spanish Town Police
5:1
Mar 3, 2026 Premier League
Waterhouse vs Spanish Town Police
3:0
Dec 15, 2025 Premier League
Spanish Town Police vs Waterhouse
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Waterhouse Compare

Top Goalscorer Murray C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Thomas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Spanish Town Police Compare

Top Goalscorer Blackwood C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Waterhouse 95 / 100
Spanish Town Police 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Waterhouse Spanish Town Police

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Waterhouse scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Spanish Town Police's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Difficult form: Spanish Town Police registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Waterhouse VS Spanish Town Police
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Waterhouse

(Home)
13 May
Waterhouse
0 : 2
Cavalier
11 May
Cavalier
2 : 2
Waterhouse
06 May
Waterhouse
4 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
03 May
Waterhouse
3 : 0
Chapelton
28 Apr
Mount Pleasant
2 : 1
Waterhouse
Page 1 of 6

Spanish Town Police

(Away)
06 May
Spanish Town Police
0 : 4
Racing United
03 May
Arnett Gardens
6 : 0
Spanish Town Police
26 Apr
Chapelton
6 : 2
Spanish Town Police
23 Apr
Spanish Town Police
0 : 1
Portmore
20 Apr
Cavalier
3 : 0
Spanish Town Police
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mount Pleasant392014569:2574
2Montego Bay392181079:4571
3Portmore391715754:3566
4Waterhouse391981251:3265
5Cavalier391941657:4161
6Racing United391418753:3460
7Arnett Gardens391771568:4658
8Chapelton391471842:5749
9FC Dunbeholden391391740:5348
10Tivoli3911111737:5844
11Treasure Beach3910131643:5943
12Molynes United399151545:4742
13Harbour View399121853:7339
14Spanish Town Police39752725:11126
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)