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Wda Swiecie vs Blekitni Stargard

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Wda Swiecie play Blekitni Stargard in the III Liga - Group II 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Wda Swiecie averaged 1.47 goals scored and 2 conceded. Blekitni Stargard averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. In past meetings, Wda Swiecie won 4, Blekitni Stargard won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Wda Swiecie and 1.31 for Blekitni Stargard. This points to a Wda Swiecie double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Wda Swiecie
16%
Draws
33%
Blekitni Stargard
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Wda Swiecie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Wda Swiecie picked up more points recently compared to Blekitni Stargard.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Wda Swiecie Clean Sheet 18%
Blekitni Stargard Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wda Swiecie Blekitni Stargard
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 10
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.61
Goals Conceded 2 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Blekitni Stargard
3:2
Sep 27, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Wda Swiecie
1:2
Apr 19, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Blekitni Stargard vs Wda Swiecie
1:3
Sep 21, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Blekitni Stargard
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wda Swiecie Compare

Top Goalscorer Wojciechowski C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaskolski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Blekitni Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer Fadecki W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wda Swiecie 50 / 100
Blekitni Stargard 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wda Swiecie Blekitni Stargard

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Wda Swiecie or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18.8%
2.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Wda Swiecie attacking → ← attacking Blekitni Stargard

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wda Swiecie scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Blekitni Stargard let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

Wda Swiecie went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Blekitni Stargard lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 40
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415