Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Wda Swiecie vs Notec Czarnkow

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Bonikowski J.
35' Event
Szulc H.
42' Event
Starosta M.

AI Match Summary

Notec Czarnkow in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Notec Czarnkow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Wda Swiecie
6%
Draws
90%
Notec Czarnkow
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Notec Czarnkow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wda Swiecie lately — more wins on the board than Notec Czarnkow.
  • Model gives Notec Czarnkow a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Notec Czarnkow have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Wda Swiecie Clean Sheet 10%
Notec Czarnkow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wda Swiecie Notec Czarnkow
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 3 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Notec Czarnkow
1:3
Nov 15, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Wda Swiecie
3:0
May 11, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Notec Czarnkow vs Wda Swiecie
3:0
Oct 13, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Wda Swiecie vs Notec Czarnkow
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wda Swiecie Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonikowski J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Notec Czarnkow Compare

Top Goalscorer Szulc H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Starosta M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wda Swiecie 10 / 100
Notec Czarnkow 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wda Swiecie Notec Czarnkow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wda Swiecie's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Notec Czarnkow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Wda Swiecie stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Wda Swiecie VS Notec Czarnkow
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Wda Swiecie

(Home)
18 Jul
Wda Swiecie
1 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
04 Jul
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 4
Wda Swiecie
30 May
Wda Swiecie
1 : 3
Notec Czarnkow
24 May
Pogon Szczecin II
13 : 1
Wda Swiecie
16 May
Wda Swiecie
1 : 2
Tluchowo
Page 1 of 6

Notec Czarnkow

(Away)
15 Jul
Notec Czarnkow
6 : 0
Sparta Brodnica
11 Jul
Polkowice
2 : 0
Notec Czarnkow
30 May
Wda Swiecie
1 : 3
Notec Czarnkow
23 May
Elana Torun
0 : 3
Notec Czarnkow
17 May
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)