Sport Picks
Weiche Flensburg 08 vs St. Pauli II
Germany
Regionalliga North 2025/2026 
Match Events
39'
39'
Podrimaj A.
(Penalty)
45'
45'
Ali I.
AI Match Summary
The Regionalliga North 2025/2026 game between Weiche Flensburg 08 and St. Pauli II finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
39%
31%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Weiche Flensburg 08 carry the better recent record into this one.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Weiche Flensburg 08 Clean Sheet 20%
St. Pauli II Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Weiche Flensburg 08 | St. Pauli II |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 25 |
| Wins | 10 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Regionalliga North
Weiche Flensburg 08 vs St. Pauli II
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg 08
1:3
May 3, 2025 Regionalliga North
Weiche Flensburg 08 vs St. Pauli II
0:1
Oct 20, 2024 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg 08
2:2
Mar 17, 2024 Regionalliga North
St. Pauli II vs Weiche Flensburg 08
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Weiche Flensburg 08 Compare
Top Goalscorer Ali I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
St. Pauli II Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Weiche Flensburg 08 31 / 100
St. Pauli II 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Weiche Flensburg 08 St. Pauli II
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SCW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Weiche Flensburg 08 scored in 83% of their last 24 games.
St. Pauli II let in goals in 96% of their last 25 matches.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Weiche Flensburg 08 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Weiche Flensburg 08 VS St. Pauli II
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Weiche Flensburg 08
(Home) 12 Jul
Weiche Flensburg 08
0 : 6 Kolding IF
07 Jul
Weiche Flensburg 08
6 : 1 Rotenhof
16 May
Lubeck
0 : 1 Weiche Flensburg 08
09 May
Weiche Flensburg 08
2 : 2 Eintracht Norderstedt
02 May
VfB Oldenburg
1 : 2 Weiche Flensburg 08
Page 1 of 5
12 Jul
Weiche Flensburg 08
0 : 6 Kolding IF
07 Jul
Weiche Flensburg 08
6 : 1 Rotenhof
09 May
Weiche Flensburg 08
2 : 2 Eintracht Norderstedt
29 Apr
Weiche Flensburg 08
4 : 1 Altona
25 Apr
Weiche Flensburg 08
2 : 0 Schoningen
Page 1 of 3
St. Pauli II
(Away) 12 Jul
St. Pauli II
5 : 5 Verden
02 Jul
Dassendorf
1 : 2 St. Pauli II
16 May
Meppen
4 : 2 St. Pauli II
10 May
St. Pauli II
1 : 1 Hamburger II
06 May
St. Pauli II
1 : 1 Bremer
Page 1 of 5
02 Jul
Dassendorf
1 : 2 St. Pauli II
16 May
Meppen
4 : 2 St. Pauli II
02 May
Altona
1 : 1 St. Pauli II
22 Apr
Phonix Lubeck
3 : 0 St. Pauli II
19 Apr
VfB Oldenburg
4 : 1 St. Pauli II
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Meppen | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 103:35 | 83 |
| 2 | Drochtersen / Assel | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 83:48 | 70 |
| 3 | VfB Oldenburg | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 87:45 | 69 |
| 4 | Jeddeloh | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 81:50 | 64 |
| 5 | Phonix Lubeck | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 53:43 | 56 |
| 6 | Hannover II | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 63:49 | 53 |
| 7 | Bremer | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 52:41 | 52 |
| 8 | Emden | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 64:54 | 51 |
| 9 | Weiche Flensburg 08 | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 69:63 | 49 |
| 10 | Hamburger II | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 57:50 | 47 |
| 11 | Lubeck | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 54:61 | 45 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen II | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 57:71 | 40 |
| 13 | Hannoverscher SC | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 49:84 | 37 |
| 14 | Schoningen | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 56:84 | 34 |
| 15 | Eintracht Norderstedt | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 51:79 | 30 |
| 16 | St. Pauli II | 34 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 38:72 | 25 |
| 17 | Lohne | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 38:78 | 23 |
| 18 | Altona | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 44:92 | 23 |
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)