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Welling vs Cheshunt

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
O’Keefe Z.
56' Event
Melvin-Lambert N.

AI Match Summary

Welling in this Isthmian League Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Welling.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Welling
15%
Draws
21%
Cheshunt
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Welling

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Welling lately — more wins on the board than Cheshunt.
  • Model gives Welling a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Welling Clean Sheet 20%
Cheshunt Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Welling Cheshunt
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 3 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.83 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Welling vs Cheshunt
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Welling vs Cheshunt
3:1
Aug 9, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Cheshunt vs Welling
4:2
Feb 7, 2023 National League South
Cheshunt vs Welling
1:1
Aug 16, 2022 National League South
Welling vs Cheshunt
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Welling Compare

Top Goalscorer O’Keefe Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Melvin-Lambert N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Cheshunt Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Welling 85 / 100
Cheshunt 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Welling Cheshunt

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Welling Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Welling scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Cheshunt's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Welling remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Welling VS Cheshunt
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Welling

(Home)
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3
Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Dulwich Hamlet
4 : 1
Welling
15 Sept
Welling
2 : 0
Cheshunt
12 Sept
Welling
4 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
08 Sept
Welling
2 : 1
Faversham
Page 1 of 6

Cheshunt

(Away)
26 Sept
Cheshunt
1 : 2
Cray Wanderers
19 Sept
Cheshunt
3 : 1
Lewes
15 Sept
Welling
2 : 0
Cheshunt
12 Sept
Eastbourne Borough
3 : 0
Cheshunt
04 Sept
Aveley
4 : 2
Cheshunt
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Enfield Town 8 6 0 2 23:11 18
2 Welling 8 6 0 2 18:9 18
3 Dartford 8 6 0 2 13:8 18
4 Carshalton 9 6 0 3 15:13 18
5 Lewes 9 5 1 3 14:11 16
6 Leatherhead 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
7 St. Albans 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
8 Ramsgate 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
9 Dulwich Hamlet 7 4 1 2 16:9 13
10 Eastbourne Borough 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
11 Chatham 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
12 Wingate & Finchley 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
13 Aveley 8 3 1 4 16:14 10
14 Burgess Hill 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
15 Cray Wanderers 7 2 3 2 13:11 9
16 Maldon & Tiptree 8 3 0 5 12:21 9
17 Cheshunt 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
18 Brentwood 8 2 0 6 13:15 6
19 Whyteleafe 8 1 3 4 10:17 6
20 Whitehawk 8 1 2 5 9:19 5
21 Three Bridges 9 1 2 6 16:28 5
22 Stanway Rovers 8 1 1 6 6:21 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)