Sport Picks
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Auckland United W
New Zealand
National League Women 
Match Events
3'
3'
Eglinton A.
Own Goal
16'
16'
Wasi R.
22'
22'
Jerez E.
AI Match Summary
The National League Women game between Wellington Phoenix 2 W and Auckland United W finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Auckland United W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Auckland United W come out ahead of Wellington Phoenix 2 W on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Auckland United W have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Clean Sheet 10%
Auckland United W Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix 2 W | Auckland United W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 26 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 17 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 2.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.75 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 2.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.75 | 0.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 19, 2025 National League Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Auckland United W
1:4
Sep 7, 2025 Kate Sheppard Cup Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Auckland United W
1:4
Nov 23, 2024 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3:0
Aug 17, 2024 Kate Sheppard Cup Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Auckland United W
1:2
Nov 5, 2023 National League Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Auckland United W
1:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Compare
Top Goalscorer Jerez E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Auckland United W Compare
Top Goalscorer Benson Z.
2 Goals Assists Leader Wasi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wellington Phoenix 2 W 34 / 100
Auckland United W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Auckland United W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AUC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wellington Phoenix 2 W found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.
Wellington Phoenix 2 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Auckland United W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 31 matches.
Scoring Trends
Wellington Phoenix 2 W VS Auckland United W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
(Home) 05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0 Waterside Karori W
22 Nov
West Coast Rangers W
2 : 2 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 2 Western Springs W
08 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
6 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
01 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
6 : 0 Central Football W
Page 1 of 6
05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0 Waterside Karori W
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 2 Western Springs W
01 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
6 : 0 Central Football W
19 Oct
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
1 : 4 Auckland United W
05 Oct
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
2 : 0 Petone W
Page 1 of 3
Auckland United W
(Away) 25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0 Auckland United W
29 Nov
Auckland United W
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0 Auckland United W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0 Southern United W
09 Nov
Western Springs W
0 : 2 Auckland United W
Page 1 of 7
25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0 Auckland United W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0 Auckland United W
09 Nov
Western Springs W
0 : 2 Auckland United W
01 Nov
Petone W
0 : 3 Auckland United W
29 Oct
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 1 Auckland United W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland United W | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 31:3 | 22 |
| 2 | Eastern Suburbs W | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 30:6 | 20 |
| 3 | Wellington United W | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 39:14 | 19 |
| 4 | West Coast Rangers W | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Southern United W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 13 |
| 6 | Western Springs W | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 31:17 | 12 |
| 7 | Wellington Phoenix 2 W | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 19:24 | 11 |
| 8 | Canterbury United W | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17:32 | 10 |
| 9 | Petone W | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6:24 | 6 |
| 10 | Central Football W | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0:69 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)
