Sport Picks
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Wellington United W
New Zealand
National League Women 2023 Sky Stadium, Wellington 
Match Events
13'
13'
McCann E.
44'
44'
McCann E.
58'
58'
Olson N.
AI Match Summary
Wellington United W in this National League Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wellington United W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wellington United W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Wellington United W have won more games recently than Wellington Phoenix 2 W.
- Win probability leans Wellington United W's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
- Wellington United W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Clean Sheet 10%
Wellington United W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wellington Phoenix 2 W | Wellington United W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 4.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 4.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.38 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 24, 2025 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4:1
Oct 11, 2024 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4:0
Oct 21, 2023 National League Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Wellington United W
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Compare
Top Goalscorer McCann E.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Wellington United W Compare
Top Goalscorer Olson N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Olliver-Bell P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 4.32
Avg xA / game 2.64
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wellington Phoenix 2 W 10 / 100
Wellington United W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Wellington United W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick WEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wellington Phoenix 2 W scored in 84% of their last 31 games.
Games between these two average 4.67 goals.
Defensive concern: Wellington United W conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.
Solid form: Wellington Phoenix 2 W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Wellington Phoenix 2 W VS Wellington United W
2 Goals Scored 4.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
(Home) 05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0 Waterside Karori W
22 Nov
West Coast Rangers W
2 : 2 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 2 Western Springs W
08 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
6 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
01 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
6 : 0 Central Football W
Page 1 of 7
05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0 Waterside Karori W
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 2 Western Springs W
01 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
6 : 0 Central Football W
19 Oct
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
1 : 4 Auckland United W
05 Oct
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
2 : 0 Petone W
Page 1 of 4
Wellington United W
(Away) 22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0 Auckland United W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9 Wellington United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0 Petone W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8 Wellington United W
24 Oct
Wellington United W
4 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Page 1 of 6
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9 Wellington United W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8 Wellington United W
19 Oct
West Coast Rangers W
4 : 2 Wellington United W
28 Sept
Western Springs W
5 : 4 Wellington United W
16 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
2 : 2 Wellington United W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland United W | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 25:9 | 22 |
| 2 | Southern United W | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 22 |
| 3 | Eastern Suburbs W | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 22:12 | 21 |
| 4 | Western Springs W | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 28:11 | 19 |
| 5 | Wellington United W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 6 | Waterside Karori W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 | 13 |
| 7 | Canterbury United W | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 17:22 | 7 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix 2 W | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:26 | 7 |
| 9 | Central Football W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:30 | 4 |
| 10 | Ellerslie W | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3:23 | 3 |
Promotion - National League Women 2023 (Play Offs)
