Sport Picks

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Wellington United W vs Auckland United W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Abbott A.

AI Match Summary

Wellington United W in this National League Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Wellington United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Wellington United W
6%
Draws
4%
Auckland United W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wellington United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Wellington United W haven't matched Auckland United W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Wellington United W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Auckland United W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Wellington United W Clean Sheet 10%
Auckland United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington United W Auckland United W
Matches Played 27 37
Wins 13 30
Draws 6 3
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 4.75 3.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 4.75 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Auckland United W
1:0
Nov 2, 2024 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Wellington United W
2:0
Nov 19, 2023 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Auckland United W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Abbott A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.65
Avg xA / game 2.38

Auckland United W Compare

Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington United W 83 / 100
Auckland United W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington United W Auckland United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington United W found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (27 games).

Wellington United W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Auckland United W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 37 matches.

Scoring Trends

Wellington United W VS Auckland United W
4.75 Goals Scored 3.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington United W

(Home)
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0
Petone W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
24 Oct
Wellington United W
4 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Page 1 of 6

Auckland United W

(Away)
25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
29 Nov
Auckland United W
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0
Southern United W
09 Nov
Western Springs W
0 : 2
Auckland United W
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W971131:322
2Eastern Suburbs W962130:620
3Wellington United W961239:1419
4West Coast Rangers W952218:717
5Southern United W941420:1513
6Western Springs W940531:1712
7Wellington Phoenix 2 W932419:2411
8Canterbury United W931517:3210
9Petone W92076:246
10Central Football W90090:690
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)