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Wellington United W vs Central Football W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Koyari M.
41' Event
Pilley H.
42' Event
Olson N.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women 2024 game between Wellington United W and Central Football W finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wellington United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Wellington United W
6%
Draws
4%
Central Football W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wellington United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Wellington United W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Wellington United W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).
  • Wellington United W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Wellington United W Clean Sheet 68%
Central Football W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington United W Central Football W
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 13 2
Draws 6 1
Losses 8 27
Goals Scored 3.75 0.13
Goals Conceded 2 6.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 6.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 15, 2025 National League Women
Central Football W vs Wellington United W
0:9
Nov 24, 2024 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Central Football W
6:0
Sep 30, 2023 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Central Football W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pilley H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Koyari M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.88

Central Football W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.12
Avg xA / game 0.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington United W 95 / 100
Central Football W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington United W Central Football W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington United W's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Central Football W conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Wellington United W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wellington United W VS Central Football W
3.75 Goals Scored 0.13
2 Goals Conceded 6.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington United W

(Home)
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0
Petone W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
24 Oct
Wellington United W
4 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Page 1 of 6

Central Football W

(Away)
21 Nov
Canterbury United W
9 : 0
Central Football W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
08 Nov
Southern United W
7 : 0
Central Football W
01 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
6 : 0
Central Football W
22 Oct
Central Football W
0 : 3
Petone W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W981021:425
2Waterside Karori W953118:818
3Eastern Suburbs W942324:914
4Western Springs W942322:1314
5West Coast Rangers W942320:1514
6Wellington United W934219:1113
7Canterbury United W941417:2013
8Southern United W932417:1211
9Wellington Phoenix 2 W91179:284
10Central Football W90093:500
Promotion - National League Women 2024 (Play Offs)