Sport Picks
Wellington United W vs Waterside Karori W
New Zealand
National League Women 2024 
Match Events
14'
14'
Starr E.
21'
21'
Alder S.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National League Women 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wellington United W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Wellington United W lately — more wins on the board than Waterside Karori W.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Wellington United W taking it.
- Regular National League Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Wellington United W Clean Sheet 14%
Waterside Karori W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wellington United W | Waterside Karori W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 22 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 8 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 1.29 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 2.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 2.43 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 9, 2024 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Waterside Karori W
1:1
Sep 23, 2023 National League Women
Waterside Karori W vs Wellington United W
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wellington United W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Waterside Karori W Compare
Top Goalscorer Starr E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wellington United W 84 / 100
Waterside Karori W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wellington United W Waterside Karori W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick WEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Wellington United W scored in 93% of their last 27 games.
Waterside Karori W has conceded goals in 82% of their last 22 outings.
Solid form: Wellington United W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Wellington United W VS Waterside Karori W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.29
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.43
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 71%
Recent Form & Match History
Wellington United W
(Home) 22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0 Auckland United W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9 Wellington United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0 Petone W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8 Wellington United W
24 Oct
Wellington United W
4 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Page 1 of 6
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0 Auckland United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0 Petone W
24 Oct
Wellington United W
4 : 1 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
12 Oct
Wellington United W
3 : 2 Eastern Suburbs W
05 Oct
Wellington United W
1 : 1 Southern United W
Page 1 of 3
Waterside Karori W
(Away) 05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0 Waterside Karori W
05 Jul
Waterside Karori W
1 : 4 Wellington Phoenix 2 W
01 Dec
Auckland United W
3 : 1 Waterside Karori W
23 Nov
Southern United W
2 : 0 Waterside Karori W
16 Nov
Waterside Karori W
3 : 1 West Coast Rangers W
Page 1 of 5
05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0 Waterside Karori W
01 Dec
Auckland United W
3 : 1 Waterside Karori W
23 Nov
Southern United W
2 : 0 Waterside Karori W
09 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 1 Waterside Karori W
26 Oct
Western Springs W
1 : 1 Waterside Karori W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland United W | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 25 |
| 2 | Waterside Karori W | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Eastern Suburbs W | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 24:9 | 14 |
| 4 | Western Springs W | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 14 |
| 5 | West Coast Rangers W | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:15 | 14 |
| 6 | Wellington United W | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 13 |
| 7 | Canterbury United W | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:20 | 13 |
| 8 | Southern United W | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Wellington Phoenix 2 W | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:28 | 4 |
| 10 | Central Football W | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3:50 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Women 2024 (Play Offs)