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Wellington United W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Olson N.
17' Event
Olliver-Bell P.
43' Event
Patterson C.

AI Match Summary

The National League Women 2024 game between Wellington United W and Wellington Phoenix 2 W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wellington United W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Wellington United W
6%
Draws
4%
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wellington United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wellington United W come out ahead of Wellington Phoenix 2 W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Wellington United W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular National League Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • Wellington United W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Wellington United W Clean Sheet 10%
Wellington Phoenix 2 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Wellington United W Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 4.75 2
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 4.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2025 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4:1
Oct 11, 2024 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4:0
Oct 21, 2023 National League Women
Wellington Phoenix 2 W vs Wellington United W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Wellington United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Olson N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olliver-Bell P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.65
Avg xA / game 2.38

Wellington Phoenix 2 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Wellington United W 83 / 100
Wellington Phoenix 2 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Wellington United W Wellington Phoenix 2 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Wellington United W's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Wellington Phoenix 2 W let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Wellington United W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Wellington United W VS Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Wellington United W

(Home)
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0
Petone W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
24 Oct
Wellington United W
4 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
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Wellington Phoenix 2 W

(Away)
05 Jul
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
4 : 0
Waterside Karori W
22 Nov
West Coast Rangers W
2 : 2
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 2
Western Springs W
08 Nov
Eastern Suburbs W
6 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
01 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
6 : 0
Central Football W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W981021:425
2Waterside Karori W953118:818
3Eastern Suburbs W942324:914
4Western Springs W942322:1314
5West Coast Rangers W942320:1514
6Wellington United W934219:1113
7Canterbury United W941417:2013
8Southern United W932417:1211
9Wellington Phoenix 2 W91179:284
10Central Football W90093:500
Promotion - National League Women 2024 (Play Offs)