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Werder Bremen vs Paderborn

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Werder Bremen
30%
Draws
29%
Paderborn
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Werder Bremen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paderborn lately — more wins on the board than Werder Bremen.
  • Model gives Werder Bremen a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Werder Bremen Clean Sheet 19%
Paderborn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Werder Bremen Paderborn
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.54 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Werder Bremen vs Paderborn
2:2
Oct 30, 2024 DFB Pokal
Paderborn vs Werder Bremen
0:1
Oct 19, 2022 DFB Pokal
Paderborn vs Werder Bremen
3:2
Jan 22, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Werder Bremen
3:4
Aug 15, 2021 2. Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Paderborn
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Werder Bremen 49 / 100
Paderborn 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Werder Bremen Paderborn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Werder Bremen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Werder Bremen found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Paderborn has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Werder Bremen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Werder Bremen VS Paderborn
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Werder Bremen

(Home)
12 Sept
1. FC Koln
1 : 1
Werder Bremen
05 Sept
Werder Bremen
3 : 1
RB Leipzig
30 Aug
Freiburg
4 : 1
Werder Bremen
22 Aug
Luneburger Hansa
0 : 3
Werder Bremen
15 Aug
Werder Bremen
0 : 1
Auxerre
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Paderborn

(Away)
12 Sept
Dortmund
3 : 0
Paderborn
05 Sept
Paderborn
0 : 1
Freiburg
29 Aug
Mainz
0 : 0
Paderborn
23 Aug
Phonix Lubeck
2 : 4
Paderborn
08 Aug
Werder Bremen
2 : 2
Paderborn
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