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Werder Bremen vs Paderborn - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Werder Bremen
35%
Draws
25%
Paderborn
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Werder Bremen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Werder Bremen average 1.86 goals a game right now, well clear of Paderborn's 1.59.
  • Model gives Werder Bremen a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Werder Bremen Clean Sheet 12%
Paderborn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Werder Bremen Paderborn
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 10
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.86 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2026 Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs Paderborn
2:2
Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Werder Bremen vs Paderborn
2:2
Oct 30, 2024 DFB Pokal
Paderborn vs Werder Bremen
0:1
Oct 19, 2022 DFB Pokal
Paderborn vs Werder Bremen
3:2
Jan 22, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Paderborn vs Werder Bremen
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Werder Bremen 56 / 100
Paderborn 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Werder Bremen Paderborn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Werder Bremen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Werder Bremen scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Paderborn has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Werder Bremen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Werder Bremen VS Paderborn
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Werder Bremen

(Home)
31 Oct
Werder Bremen
2 : 0
Hoffenheim
27 Oct
Dortmund
3 : 2
Werder Bremen
24 Oct
Mainz
2 : 3
Werder Bremen
17 Oct
Werder Bremen
2 : 2
Paderborn
09 Oct
Dortmund
2 : 2
Werder Bremen
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Paderborn

(Away)
31 Oct
B. Monchengladbach
0 : 0
Paderborn
28 Oct
Paderborn
0 : 1
VfB Stuttgart
24 Oct
Paderborn
1 : 0
Hamburger
17 Oct
Werder Bremen
2 : 2
Paderborn
10 Oct
Paderborn
0 : 2
VfB Stuttgart
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