Sport Picks
West Adelaide vs MetroStars
Australia
NPL South Australia Kilburn Sportsplex, Adelaide 
Match Events
21'
21'
Sotira C.
28'
28'
Shrestha K.
73'
73'
Carle A.
AI Match Summary
The NPL South Australia game between West Adelaide and MetroStars finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: MetroStars
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- MetroStars carry the better recent record into this one.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on MetroStars taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- MetroStars have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
West Adelaide Clean Sheet 10%
MetroStars Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | West Adelaide | MetroStars |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 18 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 3.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 3.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs MetroStars
3:3
Jun 10, 2023 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs MetroStars
2:3
Mar 25, 2023 NPL South Australia
MetroStars vs West Adelaide
2:0
Jan 24, 2020 Club Friendly
MetroStars vs West Adelaide
7:0
Aug 17, 2019 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs MetroStars
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
West Adelaide Compare
Top Goalscorer Shrestha K.
1 Goals Assists Leader De Oliveira D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
MetroStars Compare
Top Goalscorer Sotira C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Carle A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
West Adelaide 10 / 100
MetroStars 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
West Adelaide MetroStars
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.
West Adelaide's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
West Adelaide went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: MetroStars conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
West Adelaide VS MetroStars
2 Goals Scored 3.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
West Adelaide
(Home) 18 Jul
West Adelaide
0 : 0 Sturt Lions FC
04 Jul
FK Beograd
1 : 0 West Adelaide
27 Jun
Campbelltown City
0 : 0 West Adelaide
20 Jun
West Adelaide
5 : 5 Croydon
12 Jun
Adelaide Comets
3 : 2 West Adelaide
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18 Jul
West Adelaide
0 : 0 Sturt Lions FC
20 Jun
West Adelaide
5 : 5 Croydon
07 Jun
West Adelaide
3 : 1 Adelaide Utd U23
31 May
West Adelaide
1 : 2 Adelaide City
16 May
West Adelaide
1 : 2 West Torrens Birkalla
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MetroStars
(Away) 18 Jul
Playford Patriots
1 : 0 MetroStars
04 Jul
MetroStars
3 : 1 West Torrens Birkalla
27 Jun
Para
0 : 9 MetroStars
20 Jun
Adelaide City
3 : 0 MetroStars
13 Jun
MetroStars
1 : 0 Sturt Lions FC
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18 Jul
Playford Patriots
1 : 0 MetroStars
27 Jun
Para
0 : 9 MetroStars
20 Jun
Adelaide City
3 : 0 MetroStars
06 Jun
FK Beograd
1 : 2 MetroStars
23 May
Croydon
2 : 3 MetroStars
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MetroStars | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 48:19 | 37 |
| 2 | West Torrens Birkalla | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 45:26 | 36 |
| 3 | Adelaide City | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 35:16 | 36 |
| 4 | FK Beograd | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 31:21 | 30 |
| 5 | Playford Patriots | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 36:26 | 29 |
| 6 | Croydon | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 40:32 | 28 |
| 7 | Adelaide Utd U23 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24:24 | 25 |
| 8 | Sturt Lions FC | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 30:30 | 22 |
| 9 | Campbelltown City | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 28:29 | 22 |
| 10 | West Adelaide | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 33:34 | 19 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 19:35 | 13 |
| 12 | Para | 18 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9:86 | 2 |
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)