Sport Picks
West Adelaide vs MetroStars
Australia
NPL South Australia Kilburn Sportsplex, Adelaide 
Match Events
21'
21'
Sotira C.
28'
28'
Shrestha K.
73'
73'
Carle A.
AI Match Summary
The NPL South Australia game between West Adelaide and MetroStars finished 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MetroStars
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- MetroStars carry the better recent record into this one.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on MetroStars taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
West Adelaide Clean Sheet 10%
MetroStars Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | West Adelaide | MetroStars |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 17 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 NPL South Australia
MetroStars vs West Adelaide
1:3
May 2, 2026 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs MetroStars
3:3
Jun 10, 2023 NPL South Australia
West Adelaide vs MetroStars
2:3
Mar 25, 2023 NPL South Australia
MetroStars vs West Adelaide
2:0
Jan 24, 2020 Club Friendly
MetroStars vs West Adelaide
7:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
West Adelaide Compare
Top Goalscorer Shrestha K.
1 Goals Assists Leader De Oliveira D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
MetroStars Compare
Top Goalscorer Sotira C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Carle A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
West Adelaide 18 / 100
MetroStars 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
West Adelaide MetroStars
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MetroStars Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
West Adelaide scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: West Adelaide stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
MetroStars let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
West Adelaide VS MetroStars
1.63 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
West Adelaide
(Home) 15 Aug
West Adelaide
1 : 2 Playford Patriots
07 Aug
West Torrens Birkalla
6 : 1 West Adelaide
01 Aug
West Adelaide
2 : 1 Para
25 Jul
MetroStars
1 : 3 West Adelaide
18 Jul
West Adelaide
0 : 0 Sturt Lions FC
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
West Adelaide
1 : 2 Playford Patriots
01 Aug
West Adelaide
2 : 1 Para
18 Jul
West Adelaide
0 : 0 Sturt Lions FC
20 Jun
West Adelaide
5 : 5 Croydon
07 Jun
West Adelaide
3 : 1 Adelaide Utd U23
Page 1 of 3
MetroStars
(Away) 05 Sept
West Torrens Birkalla
2 : 0 MetroStars
29 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 2 West Torrens Birkalla
22 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0 Croydon
15 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0 Croydon
07 Aug
Adelaide Comets
0 : 1 MetroStars
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
West Torrens Birkalla
2 : 0 MetroStars
07 Aug
Adelaide Comets
0 : 1 MetroStars
18 Jul
Playford Patriots
1 : 0 MetroStars
27 Jun
Para
0 : 9 MetroStars
20 Jun
Adelaide City
3 : 0 MetroStars
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide City | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 44:16 | 48 |
| 2 | West Torrens Birkalla | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 54:29 | 45 |
| 3 | MetroStars | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 53:23 | 44 |
| 4 | Playford Patriots | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 42:31 | 35 |
| 5 | FK Beograd | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 35:30 | 33 |
| 6 | Croydon | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 46:41 | 30 |
| 7 | Adelaide Utd U23 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 33:32 | 29 |
| 8 | Campbelltown City | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 35:36 | 29 |
| 9 | Sturt Lions FC | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 35:36 | 27 |
| 10 | West Adelaide | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 40:44 | 25 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 25:38 | 20 |
| 12 | Para | 22 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16:102 | 2 |
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)
