Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Western Springs W vs Auckland United W

New Zealand New Zealand

Kate Sheppard Cup Women 2024 North Harbour Stadium, Auckland
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Roche C.

AI Match Summary

Auckland United W in this Kate Sheppard Cup Women 2024 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Western Springs W
33%
Draws
40%
Auckland United W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Auckland United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Auckland United W have won more games recently than Western Springs W.
  • Model gives Auckland United W a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Auckland United W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Auckland United W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Auckland United W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Western Springs W Clean Sheet 10%
Auckland United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Western Springs W Auckland United W
Matches Played 32 37
Wins 17 30
Draws 3 2
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 3 2.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 National League Women
Western Springs W vs Auckland United W
0:2
Oct 19, 2024 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Western Springs W
1:0
Sep 7, 2024 Kate Sheppard Cup Women
Western Springs W vs Auckland United W
0:1
Nov 11, 2023 National League Women
Auckland United W vs Western Springs W
1:0
Nov 18, 2022 National League Women
Western Springs W vs Auckland United W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Western Springs W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Auckland United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Roche C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Western Springs W 26 / 100
Auckland United W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Western Springs W Auckland United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Western Springs W scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Auckland United W let in goals in 54% of their last 37 matches.

Western Springs W has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Western Springs W VS Auckland United W
3 Goals Scored 2.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Western Springs W

(Home)
04 Jul
Ellerslie W
2 : 1
Western Springs W
23 Nov
Southern United W
0 : 7
Western Springs W
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 2
Western Springs W
09 Nov
Western Springs W
0 : 2
Auckland United W
31 Oct
West Coast Rangers W
2 : 1
Western Springs W
Page 1 of 7

Auckland United W

(Away)
25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
29 Nov
Auckland United W
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs W
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Auckland United W
2 : 0
Southern United W
09 Nov
Western Springs W
0 : 2
Auckland United W
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Dunedin City Royals W1
Cashmere Technical W0
Franklin United W1
Western Springs W3
Waterside Karori W2
Wellington Phoenix 2 W3
Auckland United W5
West Coast Rangers W1
Semi-finals
Dunedin City Royals W0
Western Springs W3
Wellington Phoenix 2 W1
Auckland United W2
Final
Western Springs W0
Auckland United W1