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Western Springs W vs Wellington United W

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Savage L.
10' Event
Ollington M.
23' Event
Barrott Z.

AI Match Summary

Western Springs W in this National League Women matchup, with the score ending 5-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Western Springs W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Western Springs W
6%
Draws
90%
Wellington United W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Wellington United W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Western Springs W have won more games recently than Wellington United W.
  • Model gives Wellington United W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Western Springs W have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Western Springs W Clean Sheet 10%
Wellington United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Western Springs W Wellington United W
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 15 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 3.13 4.38
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 4.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 National League Women
Western Springs W vs Wellington United W
5:4
Sep 28, 2024 National League Women
Western Springs W vs Wellington United W
2:3
Oct 29, 2023 National League Women
Wellington United W vs Western Springs W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Western Springs W Compare

Top Goalscorer Savage L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ollington M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

Wellington United W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jenkins M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Barrott Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.98
Avg xA / game 2.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Western Springs W 10 / 100
Wellington United W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Western Springs W Wellington United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Western Springs W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.67 goals as a typical output.

Wellington United W let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Solid form: Western Springs W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Western Springs W VS Wellington United W
3.13 Goals Scored 4.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Western Springs W

(Home)
04 Jul
Ellerslie W
2 : 1
Western Springs W
23 Nov
Southern United W
0 : 7
Western Springs W
15 Nov
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 2
Western Springs W
09 Nov
Western Springs W
0 : 2
Auckland United W
31 Oct
West Coast Rangers W
2 : 1
Western Springs W
Page 1 of 6

Wellington United W

(Away)
22 Nov
Wellington United W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
15 Nov
Central Football W
0 : 9
Wellington United W
07 Nov
Wellington United W
7 : 0
Petone W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
24 Oct
Wellington United W
4 : 1
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland United W971131:322
2Eastern Suburbs W962130:620
3Wellington United W961239:1419
4West Coast Rangers W952218:717
5Southern United W941420:1513
6Western Springs W940531:1712
7Wellington Phoenix 2 W932419:2411
8Canterbury United W931517:3210
9Petone W92076:246
10Central Football W90090:690
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)